Marina Rodriguez vs Yasmin Lucindo Fight Prediction
UFC fighter Marina Rodriguez from the women's strawweight division will face Yasmina Lucinda at UFC 307. This matchup will take place at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, USA on October 6, with an expected start time around 03:40 Moscow time. The venue holds approximately 20,000 spectators and serves as the home arena for NHL and NBA teams. Will the Brazilian secure a victory against her compatriot, and what betting options should you consider? Read on for our insights and predictions.

Command Analysis

Marina Rodriguez

Current Form
Marina Rodriguez had a successful stint in Thunder Fight, Aspera FC, and other Brazilian promotions before joining Dana White's league in 2018, although she never claimed a championship title there. The Latin American fighter has experienced setbacks, losing three out of her last four bouts. In April 2024, she lost to former UFC champion Jessica Andrade via split decision.
Prior to that, she secured a victory against American Michelle Waterson with a technical knockout in the second round. Rodriguez currently ranks sixth in her division. At 37 years old, her record stands at 17 wins—seven by knockout, nine by decision, and one by submission—against four losses. She holds a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and a dark blue belt with a black stripe in Muay Thai.
Notable Betting Trends
Rodriguez has a takedown success rate of 43 percent.

Iasmin Lucindo

Current Form
Yasmin Lucindo captured the championship belt from the Brazilian promotion Samurai Fight House in 2021 and a year later signed a contract with the top mixed martial arts organization in the world. The Latin American fighter debuted with a loss but subsequently secured three consecutive victories. In her most recent fight in May 2024, she triumphed over Poland's Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision.
The 22-year-old Lucindo boasts 14 wins (eight by knockout, four by decision, and two by submission) and five losses. She currently ranks 14th in her division.
Interesting Betting Trends
Lucindo's takedown defense stands at an impressive 80 percent.
Trends
Bet Rodriguez to Win by Points
Rodriguez has secured nine victories by decision
2.75Tip and bets
Lucindo enters the upcoming fight as a clear favorite. According to sportsbook analysts, Rodriguez has very few chances of success. However, they may be overestimating Yasmin's odds, as she is 15 years younger than her opponent. Undoubtedly, she has significant potential and could become a champion in the future. Nevertheless, the experienced Marina is likely to put up a real challenge. In this situation, it's wise to bet that the fight will go the distance.
Our prediction is that the match will be a complete 1.45