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Lada vs Admiral: KHL Match Prediction
Admiral continues its away tour with a match against Lada on October 5. The Tolyatti team has struggled on the road, managing just one point in two games. Meanwhile, the Sailors have been poor defensively, allowing 16 goals in their last three encounters. Can the visitors break their losing streak in the Samara region, or will the Owls finally secure a victory on the ice at Lada Arena? Find the answers to these questions in our match preview.
Command Analysis
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Mikhail Fisenko's team has struggled in the second half of September and the start of October, failing to secure a single win in regulation time across seven games. Lada embarked on a two-match road trip after a hard-fought home victory over Neftekhimik (5:4, SO). On the road, Oleg Bratash's players fell to Metallurg (1:2) and later lost to the Wolves in Nizhnekamsk (2:3, SO), managing to rally from a 0:2 deficit at the start of the third period. The Volzhane currently sit in tenth place in the Eastern Conference standings with eight points from 11 games.
The hosts average just 27 shots on goal per game but convert 7.9% of their chances. At Lada Arena, the Togliatti squad performs significantly better than on the road, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game while conceding three. The team's leading scorer remains Nikita Popugaev, who has accumulated six points (4+2) in the goals and assists category.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Dmitry Kugryshev and Danila Moiseyev will not be available for the team in Togliatti.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Lada allows an average of 32 shots on goal per game
The hosts focus on defense and possess the puck less frequently, allowing their opponents to put pressure on their goalies.
- The Togliatti team wins only 43.9% of faceoffs
The Samara players struggle at the dot and frequently expend energy on defensive play.
Admiral Vladivostok
Russian FederationCurrent Form
Admiral performed well in their recent series at Fetisov Arena, but in their final match, they squandered a two-goal lead and lost to Nizhny Novgorod's Torpedo 4-2. Leonid Tambiev's team started poorly on the road, suffering heavy losses in Minsk 7-2 and Sochi 5-0. Due to these disappointing results at the end of September and early October, the Mariners have fallen to seventh place in the Eastern Conference, accumulating 11 points after ten games.
The Far East team can be considered a home squad, as they have only managed to earn three points from five away games. There are ongoing concerns regarding goalies Ilya Konovalov, Vasily Demchenko, and Andrei Mishurov. The netminders have struggled at the back, saving only 88.3% of the shots against them. On offense, standout player Daniil Gutik ranks fourth among league scorers, leading the league in assists with 13 points, including 2 goals and 11 assists.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Vyacheslav Osnovin will be unavailable for the guests on Saturday.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Admiral averages 32 shots per game
The visitors create a high number of shots but primarily struggle with:
- Tolyatti wins only 43.9% of face-offs
The Samara team has been ineffective at the dot, consistently exerting energy on defensive play.
Trends
Bet 2nd Period: «Lada» to Score
In three encounters last season, «Lada» scored in the second periods.
1.52Bet 2nd Period: «Lada» with a 0 Handicap
In all four matches between the teams last regular season, the Togliatti side did not lose in the second periods.
1.75Tip and bets
Lada performs significantly better offensively at home, as they aren't afraid to push forward with the support of their passionate fans. In contrast, Admiral struggles away from home, having conceded a staggering 12 goals in just two matches of this series. Under Leonid Tambiev's leadership, the team is not as strong in attack, though they continue to excel in converting power plays. Last season, the Owls defeated the Mariners twice on their home ice. We believe that the Tolyatti team will once again come out on top against their opponent in the Volga region. We recommend placing a bet on the home team's victory, with insurance on a zero handicap.
Our prediction is a Lada win with an Asian handicap (0) at 1.75
Betting on Total Goals
Matches at the Lada Arena have been quite high-scoring this season. The only exceptions were the games against lower-scoring teams like SKA, Lokomotiv, and Avtomobilist, where neither team managed to score at least five goals. Admiral has consistently exceeded a total of 4.5 goals in all their away games. We expect an exciting matchup in the Samara region filled with goals. We're betting on a total over.
Prediction - Total over 4.5 goals at 1.60
Betting on Individual Total
Admiral has struggled defensively in recent games, conceding 16 goals in just three matches, averaging over five goals against per game. In contrast, Lada has been more dynamic at home, creating more scoring chances. We believe they will find the net at least three times against the inconsistent goalies from the East. We're taking the total over for the home team.
Prediction - Individual total for Lada over 2.5 goals at 1.83
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