Liontips
Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista Fight Prediction
Ultimate Fighting Championship bantamweight fighter Jose Aldo will face Mario Bautista. This bout will take place at UFC 307 in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, USA, which accommodates around 20,000 spectators and serves as the home arena for both NHL and NBA teams on October 6, starting approximately at 05:40 MSK. Can the Brazilian succeed in his matchup against the American and what betting options should you consider? Read our prediction for insights.
Command Analysis
Jose Aldo
BrazilCurrent Form
José Aldo held the title of the fourth and final champion in the World Extreme Cagefighting lightweight division, making him the first champion of the Ultimate Fighting Championship following the merger of UFC and WEC in 2011. In Dana White's promotion, the Brazilian achieved seven successful title defenses. His last fight ended in a defeat against the renowned Conor McGregor by knockout in the first round.
Aldo boasts an impressive collection of MMA awards and has been recognized as Fighter of the Year. In his most recent bout, he triumphed over American Jonathan Martinez by unanimous decision. The 38-year-old Aldo has a professional record of 32 victories, including 16 by knockout, 14 by decision, and two by submission. He currently sits at tenth in the division rankings and holds a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.
Interesting Betting Trends
Aldo's takedown success rate stands at 54 percent.
Mario Bautista
USACurrent Form
Mario Bautista had a successful run in the Legacy Fighting Alliance and other American promotions before entering the premier mixed martial arts league in 2019. He is currently on a six-fight winning streak. In his most recent match in January 2024, he secured a unanimous victory over his compatriot Ricky Simon. Earlier, he also defeated another American fighter, Da'Mon Blackshear, by unanimous decision.
The Nevada fighter holds the 11th spot in the division rankings. The 31-year-old Bautista has recorded 16 wins, including three by knockout, five by decision, and eight by submission, along with two losses. He holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Interesting Betting Trends
Bautista's submission victory rate stands at 45 percent.
Trends
Bet Bautista to win by submission
Bautista has secured eight wins by submission or choke
21.00Tip and bets
Sports betting experts view Bautista as the clear favorite in the upcoming match. They believe Aldo has minimal chances of success. This assessment holds true. The Brazilian is no longer young and finds it challenging to compete against truly formidable opponents. While he did prevail against Martinez, he previously lost to the Georgian Merab Dvalishvili. Everything points towards Mario achieving a hard-fought victory.
Our prediction is an early victory for Bautista at 4.90
Read more
Tips from experts
Today tips
Betting predictions stat
