LiontipsKarabakh vs Malmo: Predictions and Betting Tips for the Europa League Match on October 3, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
Last season, Qarabag performed impressively in the Europa League, reaching the Round of 16 where they nearly eliminated Bayer. However, replicating or even approaching that achievement will be challenging due to their current inconsistent performance. In their opening match, Gurban Gurbanov's side faced Tottenham in London. Despite the opposition going down to ten men in the eighth minute, they managed to score three goals, while Qarabag failed to break through Spurs' defense (3-0), although they had their chances.
In the domestic league, the Horses are typically in first place, holding a two-point lead over their closest rival. In their last match, Qarabag secured a win against Sabah at home (3-2).
Injuries and Suspensions
Today's match will see the absence of Ramazanov, Mahammadaliev, and Vesovic due to injuries.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Qarabag has conceded in seven of their last eight Europa League matches
- In six of the previous seven matches for the team in the EL, at least three goals were scored
Projected Line-up: Kochalski - Barros, Mustafazade, Huseynov, Safargaliyev - Romao, Andrade - Bayramov, Benzia, Zubir - Juninho.
Current Form
Malmo faced Rangers at home in the first round, suffering a 0-2 defeat. The match started poorly for Malmo as the Scots scored just a minute in. The home side struggled to recover and was starved of opportunities, managing no shots on target throughout the match under the watchful eye of coach Henrik Rydström.
Interestingly, Malmo's domestic league form showcases no attacking issues, evidenced by their impressive tally of 59 goals in 29 matches. They currently sit atop the league, holding a 10-point lead over their nearest rival.
Injuries and Suspensions
Tinnerholm, Levitski, Hakshabanovich, Vecchia, and Moisander are sidelined due to injuries. These players have been out for a while, and the team has acclimated to their absence.
Notable Betting Trends
- In the last five matches involving Malmo, there has been no exchange of goals.
- In seven of their last eight away games in the UEFA Europa League, the team has consistently found the back of the net.
Projected Lineup: Dahlin - Larsen, Rosler, Jansson, Busanello - Peña, Johnsen - Berg, Christiansen, Bolin - Telin.
Trends
Bet «Malmo» to score in the first half
In three of their last five matches, «Kara-bakh» conceded during the first 45 minutes
2.28Bet 1st Half: Total under 1.5 goals
This bet was successful in four of the last five matches of the visitors
1.55Bet Correct Score 1:1
In two of their last five matches, «Kara-bakh» played to a draw
7.10Tip and bets
Karabakh's playstyle is often chaotic and unpredictable. The team displays bold attacking football, but struggles with finishing can lead to defensive failures. Malmo is a seasoned squad, known for its discipline in defense, and they have a good chance of leaving Baku with at least one point. Clearly, bookmakers are overestimating the current capabilities of Karabakh, who are not performing as convincingly as they did last season.
Our prediction is that Malmo will not lose, with odds of 1.90
Total Bet
Karabakh is an attacking team with strong players, often leaving gaps in their defense. In fact, they have conceded goals in seven of their last eight home matches in the Europa League, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams scoring today.
The second bet is on both teams to score with odds of 1.68
Corner Bet
At home, Karabakh will take charge and likely lead in corner kicks. Notably, they have outperformed their opponents in corners in 23 out of their last 29 matches.
Prediction - Karabakh to win the corner count with odds of 1.50
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