LiontipsBorussia Dortmund vs Celtic: Predictions (Odds 2.17) and Betting Insights for the Champions League Match on October 1, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
At the start of the Champions League, the reigning finalist secured an away victory against Club Brugge with a score of 3-0. The scoreline can be misleading as all three goals were scored in the final 15 minutes. During the first half, Dortmund appeared sluggish, struggling to make progress in their positional attacks. That performance was notably enhanced by Nuri Sahin's timely substitutions.
In the Bundesliga, Borussia has gathered 10 points over five matches. This is a decent outcome overall, but there have been two disappointing outings where they failed to break down a well-organized Werder Bremen defense, resulting in a 0-0 draw, and had no answer against Stuttgart, losing 1-5.
It's evident that the Black and Yellows are currently inconsistent and can be unpredictable. In their latest league match, they achieved a home victory of 4-2 against Bochum, despite being down 0-2 by the 21st minute. Fortunately for the team, Girassi integrated well and scored twice in that match. He now has three goals in the Bundesliga and one in the Champions League.
Injuries and Suspensions
Midfielder Giovanni Reyna will miss the match due to injury.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In their last 11 Champions League matches at home, Borussia has not lost in regulation time
- In seven of their last eight home games in the Champions League, Dortmund has scored more than twice
- In their last five matches, Borussia has not won in terms of yellow cards
Expected Lineup: Kobel – Ryerson, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini – Can, Gross – Malen, Brandt, Adeyemi – Girassi.
Current Form
Celtic has delighted its supporters with a strong start in the Champions League. In their opening match at home, the Hoops dominated Slovan with a 5-1 victory, showcasing a significant advantage in shots on target (11-2) and earning 11 corner kicks, all while converting chances efficiently.
Overall, Brendan Rodgers' squad is in excellent shape. In the domestic league, they have collected a maximum of 18 points over six matches, sitting at the top of the table without conceding a single goal and scoring 20 goals themselves. Their latest match saw a commanding 6-0 victory against St. Johnstone.
Notably, the attacking duo of Maeda and Furuhashi plays a crucial role in Celtic's offense. In goal, Schmeichel has shown reliability. While it may still be early to predict how the Hoops will perform against top-tier opponents, the signs are promising.
Disciplinary and Injury Updates
The only uncertainty is the availability of Carter-Vickers.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In three of the last four matches, Celtic has not lost on offside calls
- In five of the last six matches in the Champions League, at least three goals have been scored
- Celtic has won in the first half of their last three matches
Projected Lineup: Schmeichel – Johnston, Taiste, Scales, Taylor – Engels, McGregor, Hatate – Kyogo, Furuhashi, Maeda.
Trends
Bet Celtic victory on fouls
In three of their last four matches Borussia committed fewer fouls than their opponents
1.65Bet Celtic to score in the first half
In their last three matches Celtic found the net during the opening 45 minutes
2.48Bet Exact Score 1:1
In two of their last ten matches Borussia settled for a draw
8.60Tip and bets
Borussia's performance has been too inconsistent and unpredictable to confidently bet on their victory. Their positional attacks often lack sharpness as Shaheen continues to search for the right combinations on the field, experimenting with various tactical setups. Meanwhile, Celtic has gained impressive momentum, avoiding any major setbacks even though they haven’t faced particularly formidable opponents yet. We believe that with the right mindset, the visitors can at least compete for a point today.
Our prediction is a Celtic victory with the Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.67.
Bet on Total
In recent matches, Borussia has shown noticeable defensive weaknesses. Stuttgart scored five goals against them, while Bochum netted twice. Celtic will undoubtedly have their chances as well. Dortmund possesses solid attacking potential, and with Girassi's impactful performance, they are likely to score at least one goal.
The second bet is both teams to score with odds of 1.69
Bet on Corners
Celtic consistently employs flanking attacks, often resulting in corner kicks. It's no surprise that in 13 of their last 14 matches, the Celts have earned corners. This compelling stat suggests another betting opportunity for the match.
Prediction: Celtic to win corners with a handicap of (+1.5) at odds of 2.17
