LiontipsParma vs Cagliari: Predictions (odds 3.50) and Betting Insights for Serie A Match on September 30, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
In the first five rounds, Parma has earned five points, positioning them 15th in the standings ahead of their upcoming match. They have avoided a significant downturn but haven't particularly stood out either.
In the last round, Fabio Pecchia's team made a remarkable comeback against Lecce. The opponent was leading 2-0, and from the 58th minute, both teams played with ten players. Just when it seemed the match would end that way, Parma's players scored two goals in stoppage time, leveling the match at 2-2. Interestingly, a similar comeback had occurred earlier, where Parma allowed Udinese to overcome a 2-0 deficit, ultimately losing 3-2.
It's noteworthy that Parma has secured only one victory since the season began, defeating Milan 2-1. Overall, recent matches involving Parma have shown a trend of high scoring, with both teams consistently finding the net.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Parma faces several absences. Benedyczak, Estevez, Kowalski, Chirkati, and Som will miss the match due to injuries. Kanczelari is suspended.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In the last eight home matches for Parma in Serie A, both teams have scored
- In four of their last five matches, Parma has led at halftime
- The team has been conceding goals in the second half for five consecutive matches
Predicted Lineup: Chichisola - Delprato, Balog, Osorio, Koulibaly - Keita, Bernabe - Man, Ernani, Mihaila - Bonny.
Current Form
Cagliari finds itself in a tough spot after five matches, sitting at the bottom of the table with only two points. They managed to secure draws against Roma (1:1) and Como (0:0), both played at home. However, in their last three outings, the team, led by Davide Nicola, suffered three consecutive defeats without scoring, falling to Lecce, Napoli, and Empoli. The squad is clearly struggling offensively, having netted just one goal in five games.
It seems the head coach has little chance of retaining his position. He isn't accustomed to starting a season with a new team. Nicola is known for his expertise in rescuing struggling clubs, having joined teams in the second half of the season five times in his career, successfully ensuring their survival in the league.
Despite their many misfortunes, it would be premature to write off Cagliari just yet. In their last match against Empoli, the players created a significant number of scoring opportunities, taking 21 shots on goal; unfortunately, their finishing let them down, compounded by a bit of bad luck, resulting in a 0:2 loss.
Injuries and Suspensions
Due to injuries, Vieteska, Pavoletti, Jankto, and Prati will not take part in today's match.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Cagliari has not won in five of their last six away matches in Serie A
- In 13 of their last 15 away games in the league, Cagliari failed to score more than one goal
- Cagliari players committed more fouls than their opponents in four of their last five matches
Projected Lineup: Scuffet – Zappa, Mina, Luperto - DzorTea, DeIola, Marin, Gaetano, Aujrello – Lapadula, Piccoli.
Trends
Bet Parma victory by shots on target
Cagliari has lost in shots on target in four of its last five matches
1.42Bet Goals in both halves - yes
In the last five matches, Parma scored in each half
1.72Bet Exact score 1:1
In three of the last six encounters, the teams have drawn
6.30Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet has succeeded in the last five matches for Cagliari
1.53Tip and bets
The unpredictability of football this season is embodied by Parma. Their matches have showcased frequent comebacks and regular back-and-forth scoring. In all five games played, both teams found the net. Cagliari is experiencing a prolonged period without scoring away from home, although they had several chances against Empoli. In four of their last five direct encounters, there were goals exchanged, and we expect the same today.
Our prediction is both teams to score at odds of 1.67
Betting on the Outcome
Both teams are closely matched in terms of potential and squad strength. It's notable that three of the last six encounters ended in a draw. There is a strong possibility that this time, Parma and Cagliari will once again fail to determine a clear winner.
Our second bet is a draw with odds of 3.50
Betting on Corner Kicks
Additionally, it's worth mentioning that Cagliari has won the corner kick count in four of their last five matches. We believe the bookmakers may be slightly underestimating the visitors in this aspect of the game.
Our prediction is a Cagliari victory in corners with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.70
