LiontipsMadison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia WTA Beijing Match Preview and Betting Odds September 30, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
After her early exit at the US Open, where she lost in the third round, Madison Keys took her time transitioning to hard courts in Asia. It wasn't until Beijing that the American player made her debut, quickly dominating Soribes Tormo with a score of 6-2, 6-1. Playing against the Spaniard was advantageous for Madison, as her opponent lacks powerful shots and does not possess a strong serve.
Professional Skills
Madison struggles at the baseline, particularly during extended rallies, and tends to wrap up points quickly, often in one or two shots. To facilitate this style of play, she relies on her potent first serve and powerful forehand.
Current Tour Statistics
Throughout the season, Keys has been inconsistent, occasionally facing health issues. Nevertheless, she maintains a solid level of performance with 23 wins out of 33 matches, having claimed a title on clay in Strasbourg. On hard courts, she has played only 10 matches, securing six victories.
Interesting Betting Insights
- In her last 14 tour victories, Keys won each match with a score of 2-0 in sets.
- In three of her last four matches, the first set featured more than nine games played.
Current Form
Beatriz Haddad Maia is on an impressive run, competing in Beijing following her title victory in Seoul last week. In her opening match, she faced a significantly lower-ranked opponent in Wei, managing to secure a win with a score of 7-5, 6-4. So far, the Brazilian tennis player has extended her winning streak to five matches in Asia.
Professional Qualities
Beatriz aims to take control of the court, not waiting for her opponents' errors and consistently pressing the action. She has no trouble maintaining rallies from the baseline and feels comfortable in extended exchanges.
Current Tour Stats
Following her title in Seoul, Haddad Maia has moved up to the 10th spot in the WTA rankings, battling for a position in the top 10 as the season concludes. On hard courts this year, she holds a record of 22 wins against 13 losses.
Betting Insights
- Haddad Maia is on a five-match winning streak, with four of those victories coming by a decisive 2-0 score in sets.
- In her last three matches, the second set has featured more than nine games played.
Trends
Bet Total under 2.5 sets
In five of the last six matches, Hadad Maia did not exchange set wins
1.51Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
This bet has been successful in two previous matchups
2.03Tip and bets
Kiz has made a strong start in Beijing, but it's important not to overestimate her dominant victory over Soribes Tormo as the matchup favored her game. Haddad Maia can respond powerfully to the American and will hold an edge on the baseline. Additionally, the Brazilian tennis player is currently in top form and aiming for a spot in the top 10. We believe the bookmakers are slightly undervaluing Beatriz in this matchup.
Our prediction is a victory for Haddad Maia with odds of 2.12
Betting on the Total
Both athletes excel on their serves, and the hard court in Beijing plays quite fast. We anticipate that the upcoming match will not end quickly.
Our second bet is for a total of over 21 games at 1.68
Betting on the First Set
In three of the last four matches involving Keys, more than nine games were played in the first set. It is likely that both players will fiercely compete for control right from the start, resulting in at least 10 games being played.
Prediction - total over 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 2.03
