LiontipsAriana Sabalenka vs Ashlyn Kruger: Predictions and Betting Odds for WTA Beijing Match on September 30, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
After winning the US Open, Sabalenka took a break and did not compete on the tour until Beijing. Her first match after the hiatus was not particularly impressive. She faced Savangkaev, who was clearly inferior in skill. Only in the second set did Aryna show her full potential, winning 6-4, 6-1. The Belarusian player clearly took some time to adapt to the local surface.
Professional Qualities
Sabalenka plays with an aggressive style, fully utilizing the power of her serves and forehands, which are on par with many male players. Additionally, Aryna can reliably perform from the baseline, providing her opponents with a high tempo during rallies.
Current Tour Statistics
Aryna is ranked second, but with Swiatek not participating in Beijing and not defending her title from last year, Sabalenka has a chance to contest for the top spot as the season concludes. On outdoor hard courts since the start of the year, Sabalenka has achieved 31 victories and only six losses.
Interesting Betting Facts
- Sabalenka has secured 13 consecutive wins, with 12 of those victories coming with a precise 2-0 set score
- In only one of the last ten matches involving Sabalenka did the opening set feature more than nine games
Current Form
Kruger, like Sabalenka, is participating in her first Asian tournament in Beijing. Eshlyn has already played two matches, defeating Wang Yafan (6-3, 4-6, 6-2) and Lulu Sun (6-1, 7-6). However, she has not shown consistent performance in either match, struggling with fluctuating play and lacking a powerful and confident serve, which will make it difficult for her to challenge Aryna.
Professional Skills
Kruger often finds success by forcing her opponents to make errors during lengthy rallies from the baseline. However, her serving statistics do not stand out.
Current Tour Statistics
Since the start of the year, Kruger has played 52 matches, securing 29 victories. She has performed best on hard courts with 19 wins and 14 losses. Currently, she is ranked 68th in the world rankings.
Interesting Betting Facts
- In her last three matches, Kruger did not play more than nine games in the first set
- In four out of her last six matches, Eshlyn played a minimum number of sets
Trends
Bet Total under 2.5 sets
In 12 out of the last 13 matches, Sabalenka achieved victories with a score of 2-0 in sets
1.21Bet Set outcomes: 2>1
This scenario unfolded in the last two matches for Krüger
2.21Tip and bets
Sabalenka showcased her superiority in the first match in Beijing and is likely to elevate her performance in the upcoming contests. Kruger won't bring any surprises on the court; she lacks the power to challenge Arina effectively and does not serve convincingly either. It will be a tough battle for her to withstand the pressure from the Belarusian, especially relying solely on her somewhat stable baseline play.
Our prediction is a Sabalenka victory with a handicap of (-6) games at odds of 1.93.
Bet on Total
Ariana is currently on an impressive eight-match winning streak, having secured victories by a score of 2-0 in seven of those games. We do not anticipate that the upcoming match will be prolonged.
The second bet is total under 19 games at 1.88
Bet on the Second Set
In her opening match of the tournament, Sabalenka decisively overcame her opponent in the second set. We expect her to demonstrate similar dominance during this segment of the game today.
Prediction: total under 9.5 games in the second set with odds of 1.41
