LiontipsRublev vs. Carreno-Busta: Predictions and Betting Tips for the ATP Beijing Match on September 27, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
Rublev will step onto the court for an official match for the first time since the US Open. Recall that at the New York major he advanced to the fourth round, where he lost to Grigor Dimitrov. This season, on hard courts, Andrey has recorded 24 victories against nine losses.
Professional Qualities
Recently, Rublev has slightly slowed down. His serve has not been performing well, and he has been making several unforced errors. However, Andrey still wields a powerful forehand and continues to push for an aggressive playing style.
Current Tour Stats
This season, the Russian has secured two tournament titles. He triumphed on hard courts in Hong Kong and later clinched victory at the clay Masters in Madrid. Currently, Rublev holds 16 ATP titles throughout his career. He is presently ranked sixth in the world standings.
Interesting Betting Facts
Rublev has confidently advanced past the first round in 12 of the last 13 hard court tournaments.
Current Form
Pablo Carreno-Busta recently represented Spain in the Davis Cup. He played one match during the event, defeating Jordan Thompson in three sets. This year, on hard courts, he has recorded seven wins against four losses.
Professional Qualities
Carreno-Busta is recognized as one of the top defensive players on tour. The Spaniard thrives on clay, where his style of play is most effective. In recent years, he has struggled with injuries that have hindered his return to peak performance.
Current Tour Statistics
This season, Pablo has only played 17 matches. It is noteworthy that he has returned to the tour after a lengthy recovery from a right elbow injury. His best result this year came in Winston-Salem, where he reached the semifinals. Once ranked tenth in the world, he currently sits at 201 in the global rankings.
Interesting Betting Facts
In his last 20 matches, Carreno-Busta has only lost three times by a margin of four games or less.
Trends
Bet Set Efficiency: 2>1
In 3 out of the last 5 matches, Rublev's games followed this pattern
2.26Bet No Tie-Break in the Match
This bet has won in 3 of the last 5 matches for Carreno-Busta
1.74Tip and bets
Carreno Busta is a resilient tennis player. The Spaniard is nearing his peak form, as evidenced by his performance at the Winston-Salem tournament where he reached the semifinals. We believe Pablo can give Rublev a tough challenge.
Our prediction is a victory for Carreno Busta with a game spread of (+4) at odds of 2.08
Total Bet
Rublev and Carreno-Busta have faced each other four times. Their most recent encounter went the distance in three sets. It is highly likely that their upcoming match will follow a similar pattern.
The second prediction is for a total of over 22 games at odds of 1.84.
First Set Bet
In three of Carreno-Busta's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We anticipate that Pablo's upcoming clash with Rublev will also begin with a low-scoring first set.
The prediction is for a total of under 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.99.
