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Renato Moicano vs Benoit Saint Denis: Fight Prediction
UFC lightweight fighter Renato Moicano will face Benoit Saint Denis in the main event of UFC Fight Night 243 at the Accor Arena in Paris, France. The venue, which can accommodate around 20 thousand fans, will host this exciting clash on September 28, with the main card expected to start at approximately 23:40 Moscow time. Can the Brazilian secure a victory against the French fighter? Discover our betting insights and recommended wagers in our betting tip.
Command Analysis
Renato Carneiro
BrazilCurrent Form
Renato Moicano became the champion of the Brazilian promotion Jungle Fight in 2014 and shortly after signed a contract with Dana White's league. In the UFC, the Latin American fighter has had mixed results but has managed to climb to the 11th position in the division rankings. Moicano has won his last three fights, defeating Brad Riddell from New Zealand via submission in the first round.
He also secured victories over American fighters Drew Dober by unanimous decision and Jalin Turner by technical knockout in the second round. The 35-year-old Moicano has a record of 19 wins (one by knockout, ten by submission) and five losses. He holds black belts in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and Muay Thai.
Latest News
Moicano believes that Dana White is «trying to promote Sen-Denis».
«One hundred percent. But I’m not even mad because this is just business. I know Europe is a huge market, and they don’t have many good European fighters, while Sen-Denis is a dangerous guy. An aggressive fighter, which is why he appeals to the UFC. He is European, young, represents a strong market, so he can earn good money for UFC, but you know what? They picked the wrong opponent for him because I’m going to step into the octagon and beat him,» said the fighter.
Interesting Betting Trends
Moicano's takedown success rate stands at 45 percent.
Benoit St.Denis
FranceCurrent Form
Benoit Saint-Denis is a former champion of Staredown Fighting Championship. He has also excelled in Brave CF and joined the top mixed martial arts circuit in 2021. In his most recent fight in March 2024, the Frenchman faced former interim champion Dustin Poirier from the USA and lost by knockout in the second round, ending a streak of four consecutive victories.
The 28-year-old Saint-Denis has an impressive record of 13 wins, including four by knockout and nine by submission, along with two losses. Known as the God of War, he holds a black belt in judo and a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Benoit is also skilled in kickboxing and grappling.
Latest News
Saint-Denis is primarily focused on his aspirations to challenge for the title against current UFC champion Islam Makhachev from Russia. He has set his sights on becoming a champion rather than contemplating a showdown with the Brazilian fighter.
Winning against Makhachev and claiming the UFC championship is my goal. I am not considering a fight for the BMF belt or moving to another weight class right now. Those thoughts should come only after achieving championship status. My main focus is the lightweight division and securing the title, as I feel comfortable in this weight, Benoit stated.
Interesting Betting Trends
Saint-Denis boasts a takedown defense rate of 69 percent.
Trends
Bet Victory for St. Denis by submission
Nine victories by choke or lock
4.40Tip and bets
Betting analysts regard Saint-Denis as a clear favorite in this upcoming match. They believe Moicano's chances for success are quite slim. However, they may be overestimating the French fighter's prospects. It's evident he will have overwhelming support from the crowd, and the judges are likely to be more favorable towards him. Yet, the Brazilian is not planning to be a mere punching bag and will certainly put up a fierce resistance. In this scenario, it would be wise to bet on the fight not going the full distance. Together, the opponents boast a total of 24 finishes.
Our prediction is that the match will not go the full distance 1.31
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