LiontipsNewcastle vs Manchester City: Predictions (odds 3.10) and Betting Insights for Premier League Match on September 28, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
In their last four Premier League matches, Newcastle remained unbeaten with three wins and a draw, although their performance has been lackluster at times and luck played a role. In the fifth round, they suffered an away defeat to Fulham with a score of 1-3. The opponent scored two goals in the first 22 minutes, and Newcastle couldn't make up the deficit, although they managed to net one goal in the second half and created several threatening chances. Overall, it is worth noting that Eddie Howe's team allowed the Cottagers too much freedom near their goal, with Fulham registering 11 shots on target throughout the match.
This week, Newcastle was supposed to face Wimbledon in a League Cup match away, but the stadium was flooded. The game has been rescheduled, which could potentially benefit the home team today, as it afforded them extra preparation time ahead of facing the Premier League leaders.
A standout for Newcastle has been Harvey Barnes, who has scored in each of the last three matches he played. To date, the Magpies have scored in every match since the season began. After five rounds, they sit sixth in the standings with 10 points.
Injuries and Suspensions
Absent due to injury today are Wilson, Botman, Lascelles, and Miley.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In nine of the last ten Newcastle matches in the Premier League, both teams have scored.
- In seven of the last nine fixtures involving the Magpies, at least three goals have been scored.
- Newcastle has lost the fouls count in four out of their last five matches.
Projected Lineup: Pope – Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall – Tonali, Guimarães, Joelinton – Gordon, Isak, Barnes.
Current Form
Manchester City is currently facing a challenging run of fixtures that many top clubs have expressed concerns about. So far, things haven’t gone as planned. They started their Champions League campaign with a disappointing draw against Inter at home, ending 0-0. In the fifth round of the Premier League, they managed to secure a late 2-2 draw against Arsenal, despite playing with an advantage for the entire second half and applying consistent pressure on the opponent's goal.
In the league standings after five rounds, Manchester City sits at the top but holds only a one-point lead over Liverpool and Aston Villa. Erling Haaland has been a bright spot, netting 10 goals in five league appearances. However, the match against Arsenal brought the unfortunate news of Rodri's injury, as he ruptured his cruciate ligaments and will be out for the remainder of the season.
Earlier this week, Manchester City progressed in the League Cup with a solid 2-1 victory over Watford in the third round. It was expected that key players from the first team would be rested for that match.
Injuries and Suspensions
Due to injuries, defender Nathan Aké and midfielders Oscar Bobb and Rodri Hernández will be sidelined. Midfielder Kevin De Bruyne's participation in the match remains uncertain.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Manchester City has scored at least two goals in their last 14 Premier League matches.
- In 13 of their last 14 EPL matches, City has won in the second half.
- In three of their last four matches, Manchester City has not lost due to offside violations.
Expected Lineup: Ederson – Akanji, Dias, Guardiol – Savio, Lewis, Kovacic, Doku – Gundogan, Silva – Haaland.
Trends
Bet Manchester City to win on corners with a handicap of (-1.5)
In their last four matches, Manchester City has won on corners
1.56Bet Goals in both halves – Yes
In three of the last five games, Manchester City scored in both halves
1.39Bet Exact score 1:3
Newcastle's last two losses were by a two-goal margin
9.20Bet Manchester City to score in the first half
In four of their last five matches, Manchester City scored in the opening half
1.67Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
This bet has been successful in the last two head-to-head matches
1.72Tip and bets
Newcastle had more time to prepare for the upcoming match, yet it is unlikely to help them secure even a single point against Manchester City. City has solid rotation options and recently fielded a less experienced squad in the League Cup. Overall, Newcastle's performance raises many questions, as opponents frequently create numerous scoring opportunities; even modest Fulham managed 11 shots on target. At this moment, Eddie Howe's side seems ill-equipped to challenge the Cityzens effectively, especially with their attack functioning well and Haaland in excellent form.
Our prediction is a victory for Manchester City with odds of 1.61.
Total Goals Bet
Newcastle plays boldly on the attack and frequently exchanges goals with their opponents. The bet on both teams to score has been successful in nine out of the last ten matches for the Magpies in the league. We anticipate that today the rivals will also register goals against each other.
The second bet is on both teams to score with odds of 1.60
Exact Score Margin Bet
Newcastle's last two defeats across all competitions were by a margin of two goals. Given the defensive issues they face, we believe the Magpies are unlikely to lose by just one goal today.
Prediction - Manchester City to win by a margin of two to three goals with odds of 3.10
