Farès Ziam vs Matt Frevola: Fight Prediction
UFC lightweight fighter Fares Ziam is set to face Matt Frevola at the UFC Fight Night 243. This exciting matchup will take place at the Accor Arena in Paris, France, which has a seating capacity of around 20,000 fans. The event is scheduled for September 28, starting approximately at 10:00 PM MSK. Can the French fighter achieve victory against his American opponent, and what betting options are available? Read our prediction to find out.

Command Analysis

Fares Ziam

Current Form
Fares Ziam is a former champion of both HIT Fighting Championship and Lyon Fighting Championship. The French fighter has achieved victories in his last three bouts. He defeated Polish fighter Michal Figlak by unanimous decision, Englishman Jay Herbert by unanimous decision, and Claudio Puelles by split decision.
At 27 years old, Ziam boasts a record of 15 wins (five by knockout, six by decision, and four by submission) and four losses. In addition, Fares has trained in kickboxing, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and Muay Thai.
Interesting Betting Trends
Ziam has a takedown success rate of 24 percent.

Matt Frevola

Current Form
Matt Frevola had a successful run in World Series of Fighting and Titan FC before joining Dana White's league in 2018. In his most recent fight in November 2023, the American lost to French fighter Benoit Saint Denis by knockout. However, prior to that, he scored wins over fellow American Drew Dober by technical knockout in the first round, German Ottman Azaitar by knockout in the first round, and Mexican Genaro Valdez by technical knockout in the first round.
The 34-year-old Frevola boasts an impressive record of 11 wins, including four by knockout, four by decision, and three by submission, along with four defeats. He holds a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.
Interesting Betting Trends
Frevola has a takedown defense rate of 43 percent.
Trends
Bet Early Victory for Ziam
Ziam has achieved nine early victories
2.89Tip and bets
Bookmaker analysts are finding it challenging to identify a clear favorite in the upcoming match. They believe that Ziam holds a slight edge, fighting at home with the backing of his fans. Additionally, the referees are likely to show him more favor. Given this context, placing a bet on the home fighter's victory is advisable.
Our prediction is a win for Ziam at 1.75