LiontipsSeverstal vs. Metallurg. KHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Severstal cannot produce a long winning streak and alternates successful games with failures. Andrei Kozyrev's charges suffered a heavy defeat to Sibir (2:5) after returning to their home ice. A day later, the "black and yellow" entered the ice with a different attitude and beat Moscow CSKA in a beautiful style (4:2). In all matches of the season, with the exception of the away match in Moscow against Dynamo (1:3), the "steelworkers" showed good play in attack and scored at least twice within regular time.
There are questions about the hosts' defense. At the moment, the club from the Vologda region is one of the worst in the KHL in terms of the number of tackles (11) and interceptions (22). At the same time, the hosts are not very successful in the minority. In 16 penalties, Adam Liszka's team conceded four goals, having a modest 75% of the opponents' unused numerical advantages.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are no serious losses in Severstal.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal receives an average of five minutes of penalty time
Despite their poor play in the minority, the Steelworkers try to get sent off as little as possible.
- According to statistics, Cherepovets' opponents block at least 13 shots
The Black and Yellows put serious pressure on the opposing goalkeepers, but they block a large number of shots.
Current form
After losing the KHL Opening Cup match to Yaroslavl's Lokomotiv (2:3), Metallurg managed to win against SKA (5:4, OT). The success in the game against the Army Men was the last one for Yegor Yakovlev's team at the moment. The Foxes lost twice to Neftekhimik (0:2 and 2:3), and then lost to Ak Bars (0:2) on the ice of Tatneft Arena. Magnitka plays terribly on offense and was able to score only two goals in the previous three matches.
Magnitogorsk also demonstrates a weak game in the majority. Having received nine attempts to realize the extra man, the guests used only one of them, having 11.1% success in this component. In general, Andrey Razin's team has big problems in attack. Making more than 29 shots on average per match, the Urals team scores only 1.8 goals per game on average.
Disqualifications and injuries
Daniil Vovchenko (injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Metallurg blocks 15 shots per game on average
The Magnitogorsk team sacrifices itself for the sake of the goalie, but this does not help Ilya Nabokov play reliably.
- The Foxes allow more than 29 shots on goal per game.
The visitors play terribly in defense and often allow their opponents to harass their goalkeeper.
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches involving Severstal , the teams scored at least twice between them in the second period.
1.65Bet 2nd period: Severstal will not lose
In five games this season , Severstal has not lost a single second period.
1.42Tip and bets
Although Severstal cannot boast of stability, overall they show decent play both in defense and in attack. Metallurg has lost three games in a row and scored only two goals in the previous three meetings. Magnitka has not won in matches at the arena in Cherepovets since 2020 and now Andrey Razin's charges do not look like favorites on paper. We believe that the hosts will not "rest on their laurels" for long after their success in the game against CSKA and will achieve victory in the match against the "foxes" in regular time.
Betting Tip - Severstal win with Asian handicap (0) for 1.96
Total Bet
Metallurg failed to score in two of the previous three matches. There is no doubt that the visitors will try to score as many as possible to regain their confidence in the attack. Severstal is generally always ready for a shootout and feels comfortable in open play. In the eight previous matches between these teams, only once at least five goals were not scored. We do not think that the upcoming meeting will be an exception.
We bet on a total of more than five goals with a coefficient of 1.71
Bet on individual total
Severstal scored six times in two games on home ice and put a lot of pressure on the opposing goalies. Metallurg has a lot of problems in defense and has allowed 14 goals in five games. Ilya Nabokov did not start the season in the best way and is not helping his teammates. The young goalie has only 91.2% of saved shots with a reliability coefficient of 2.78. We believe that the hosts will make at least three accurate shots.
We take the individual total of Severstal more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.85
