LiontipsTottenham vs Arsenal. Prediction (odds 2.40) and bets on the Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Tottenham's opening rounds were clearly below expectations and betting tips, given that the Londoners regularly set the highest goals for themselves. In the first round, the Spurs played Leicester, had a significant advantage, created a huge number of dangerous moments, but ultimately won only one point (1:1). The crushing victory over Everton (4:0) did not cause much surprise, since the Toffees are currently looking too weak.
The third round was an away match against Newcastle. Once again we saw a solid attacking performance from Spurs, they had 66% possession, made 20 shots at goal, six of which were on target. However, the final score was 2:1 in favor of the Magpies. With four points, Anja Postecoglou's charges are approaching the start of the fourth round only in 10th place in the table.
In the opening rounds, we note the play of Son, who scored a double in the match against Everton. James Maddison is also good now, with assists in the matches against Leicester and Everton.
Disqualifications and injuries
Richarlison will not play in the derby today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Tottenham have lost three of their last four matches due to offsides
- Spurs have not drawn in 22 home Premier League matches
- Tottenham have not won in the first half of their last 10 home Premier League games
Probable line-up : Vicario - Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Udoji - Bissouma, Sarr - Odober, Maddison, Son - Kulusevski.
Current form
Arsenal were clearly betting on collecting the maximum nine points after three rounds. At first, everything went according to the Gunners' plan - confident victories with the same score of 2:0 over Wolverhampton and Aston Villa. However, in the third round, there was a misfire with Brighton on their home field (1:1). In that game, the Londoners were leading 1:0, but Rice's stupid sending off led to the fact that the entire second half had to be fought off by the Seagulls' attacks, one of which was successful for the opponent.
After three rounds https://www.arsenal.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">, Arsenal have seven points and now have to catch up with Liverpool and Manchester City, who have moved slightly ahead. It will be difficult for the Gunners in the near future - too many losses in the squad. Arteta will have to solve the problem of the center of the field today - Rice and Odegaard are out of the game, newcomer Merino got injured even earlier and did not play a single match for the Londoners.
It should be noted that Arsenal recently extended the contract with Mikel Arteta.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rice has been suspended. Merino, Odegaard, Tierney and Tomiyasu are injured. Calafiori and Jesus are in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Arsenal have won seven of their last eight games on fouls
- The Gunners have conceded only two goals in their last six Premier League matches.
- Arsenal have scored at least two goals away from home in eight of their last 10 Premier League games
Probable line-up : Raya - White, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber - Partey, Jorginho, Havertz - Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.
Trends
Bet Arsenal to win on yellow cards
Arsenal have received more yellow cards than their opponents in four of their last five matches
2.35Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the five previous head-to-head meetings, goals were scored in each half.
1.62Bet Exact score 3:1
This score has been recorded in two of the last six matches between the teams
21.00Bet Tottenham to score in the second half
Tottenham have scored in the second 45 minutes in four of their last five matches
1.65Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has been successful in the previous six face-to-face meetings
2.30Tip and bets
In the bookmakers' line, Arsenal is getting the status of the favorite, but it is clearly risky to bet on Arteta's charges today. The Gunners have too many problems with their squad, especially in the center of the field. Tottenham did not have the best start in terms of the number of points scored, but in terms of the game, with the exception of problems with implementation, everything is in order. In addition, we have a derby ahead of us, in which the tournament position often does not play a special role, a lot will depend on the mood of the players for a particular battle.
Our prediction is Tottenham will not lose at odds of 1.62
Bet on total
When choosing a bet on the total, we recommend relying on the statistics of head-to-head confrontations. In three of the four previous derbies, more than three goals were scored, it is unlikely that any of the opponents will sit back in defense today.
The second bet is total over 3.5 goals with odds of 2.40
Bet on corners
It should be noted that Tottenham actively uses the flanks in their game and it is no coincidence that in the six previous matches the Spurs took more corners than their opponents.
Prediction: Tottenham win on corners with odds of 2.20
