LiontipsAlexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko. Fight Prediction and Bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Alexa Grasso is ranked number one in the UFC women's pound-for-pound rankings. The Mexican is a former Invicta Fighting Championships champion. She also has many prizes, awards, and recognitions in MMA. In March 2023, the Latin American defeated Valentina Shevchenko (submission, fourth round) and won the championship belt. Six months later, her first title defense in a fight with an athlete from Kyrgyzstan ended in a draw.
Grasso, 31, has 16 wins (four by knockout, ten by decision, two by submission) and three losses. Alexa holds a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Latest news
Grasso made a surprising confession about Ronda Rousey ahead of her fight with Valentina Shevchenko.
"My main goal when I started competing was to make a better life for me and my family. And then I saw Ronda Rousey, the first female champion in the UFC. And that was the first time a lot of women realized that this is amazing. You can do a lot in this sport.
But the Mexican always kept the fight with Valentina Shevchenko in focus. "The Bullet" had no idea that Grasso had been preparing for this fight from the very beginning.
"When I moved up to flyweight, Valentina was always the target because she was so dominant, so strong. So when I had the opportunity, we were ready and we took advantage of it," Alexa added.
Interesting trends for betting
Grasso's takedown success rate is 45 percent.
Current form
Valentina Shevchenko came to mixed martial arts in 2003, but in parallel with MMA, she was quite successfully engaged in boxing, muay thai, taekwondo, judo and kickboxing. Her collection includes many awards, gold medals and various prizes in all these sports disciplines. Bullet defeated Poland's Joanna Jedrzejczyk (unanimous decision) in 2018 and won the championship belt. After that, she successfully defended her title seven times. In her last successful one, in June 2022, the Kyrgyz defeated Brazil's Tayla Santos (separate).
The 36-year-old Shevchenko has 22 wins (eight by knockout, seven by decision, seven by submission) and four losses. Valentina has black belts in taekwondo and judo. She is also a master of sports in Thai boxing and kickboxing.
Latest news
Grasso gave Shevchenko advice on how to approach the third meeting, but Valentina is fully confident that what she did in the second fight was enough to win.
«Reading between the lines, it means, ‘Okay, Valentina, if I stay on my side of the octagon and you play your game, I’ll be safe and I won’t lose my belt,’ so she expects me to stay on my side and she’ll stay on hers and we’ll do shadow boxing training or something like that,» Shevchenko said.
"And she'll say, 'Okay, I'm the champion, I'll still have the belt,' it's so funny. "But seriously, you know why we're talking about a third fight? It's only because in the second fight - everyone saw the fight, everyone knows, everyone was very surprised because of the mistake the referee made, and if it weren't for him, everyone saw that I was the winner of that fight. I did enough to win the fight, at least three out of five rounds. That was enough to win the fight," Valentina added.
Interesting trends for betting
Shevchenko's takedown defense is 71 percent.
Trends
Bet Shevchenko wins by knockout
Shevchenko has eight knockout wins
9.60Tip and bets
Bookmakers' experts found it difficult to name a clear favorite of the upcoming fight. In their opinion, both fighters have approximately equal chances of success. And that's true. In the last face-to-face fight, the winner was not determined. However, then most experts gave the victory to Shevchenko. And this time it is worth choosing a bet on the more experienced native of Bishkek. Moreover, bookmakers offer fighting odds for her victory. There is no doubt that she made the right conclusions and carried out fruitful work on the mistakes after the last title fight.
Our betting tip is Shevchenko's victory in 1.92
