LiontipsSinner vs Fritz. US Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Sinner defeated Jack Draper in the semifinals of the US Open (7-5, 7-6, 6-2). In the confrontation with the Briton, Yannick served 11 aces, converted four break points and lost one game on his serve. On open hard courts, the Italian has 31 wins and two losses this season. Earlier in the tournament grid of the New York major, Sinner beat Daniil Medvedev, Tommy Paul, Christopher O'Connell, Alex Mickelsen and Mackenzie McDonald.
Professional qualities
Sinner has become a true all-rounder in recent years, so flawless is his game on the court. It is almost impossible to find even the slightest weakness in the Italian. His serve has reached a whole new level, becoming powerful and incredibly effective. His shots from both sides are perfected to perfection, delivered with impressive topspin, and his backhand topspin can easily compete with the legendary shot of Rafael Nadal. Jannik's forehand is a real tactical weapon, with which he masterfully controls the tempo of the game.
Current indicators in the tour
Sinner is the world's number one tennis player and will remain so after the US Open. This season, Yannick has won five titles - he won the Australian Open, Rotterdam, Miami, Hull and Cincinnati.
Interesting facts for betting
Sinner has won every final he has played in this season.
Current form
Fritz reached his first career US Open final thanks to a win over Frances Tiafoe (4-6, 7-5, 4-6, 6-4, 6-1). Taylor served 16 aces, converted six break points and lost four games on his serve in the match against his compatriot. For the American, this was his 18th victory on open hard courts this season and seven losses. Earlier in the New York major, Fritz beat Alexander Zverev, Casper Ruud, Francesco Comesana, Matteo Berrettini and Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
Professional qualities
Fritz is associated with a powerful game. His serve is a real weapon, strong and accurate. He plays aggressively, imposing his game on his opponents and often taking risky shots. Physically, the American is very strong, which allows him to withstand long and grueling matches. His fighting spirit, especially at a home tournament, is simply amazing. However, Taylor has his weaknesses. His backhand shots, although strong, are still not up to the level of the best players in the world. This is especially noticeable when compared to his opponents. His serve return could also be more consistent. This is especially important in matches with top tennis players.
Current indicators in the tour
Fritz is a former world No. 5, but is currently ranked No. 12 in the world. Taylor has won two tournaments this season - a home title in Delray Beach and later a grass court title in Eastbourne.
Interesting facts for betting
Fritz has 11 straight wins on outdoor hard courts.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Sinner's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.33Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Fritz's 5 previous matches
1.41Tip and bets
Sinner is incredible at the moment. The Italian is playing perfect tennis and it is unlikely that Fritz, even though he plays at home, will be able to stop Jannik. It is worth noting that this season Sinner has played in five finals and won them all.
Our prediction is Sinner's victory with a handicap of (-4) games at odds of 1.74
Bet on total
Fritz is playing at home and may be able to win a set back from Sinner. The last face-to-face meeting between the tennis players took place last year at the Masters in Indian Wells and in that match they exchanged sets. We expect the upcoming final to be a drawn-out one.
The second betting tip is total over 37 games for odds of 1.74
Bet on the first set
Three of Fritz's last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. Expect Taylor vs. Sinner to start with a similarly low first set.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.27
