LiontipsJessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova. US Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
During her career, Pegula has reached the quarterfinals of Grand Slam tournaments six times, but only now in New York, on her seventh attempt, she managed to overcome this barrier. Moreover, in the quarterfinals, Jessica beat the world's number one tennis player, Swiatek (6-2, 6-4). She managed to win, first of all, due to the minimum number of unforced errors - Iga managed to make 41 mistakes in 18 games, while the American had only 22 mistakes. It should be noted that Pegula finished all matches at the US Open with an exact score of 2-0 in sets.
Professional qualities
Pegula does not have outstanding anthropometric data, but she plays attacking tennis, offering her opponents high speeds both in movement on the court and directly in the exchange of blows. Due to the high tempo, the game ahead, she often forces her opponents to make mistakes, which was possible in the quarterfinal game against Swiatek.
Current indicators in the tour
Pegula has achieved her greatest success this season on hard, where she traditionally feels very confident. She has won 23 out of 29 matches on this surface. In this North American hard section, Jessica won the title in Toronto and made her mark in the final in Cincinnati, where she failed to beat Sabalenka.
Interesting facts for betting
- Pegula won all her victories on the way to the semi-finals with an exact score of 2-0 in sets.
- In her three previous matches in New York, Jessica had not made more than three double faults.
Current form
A year ago, Muchova shone on the courts in New York and managed to get to the semifinals. This time, there were concerns in the betting tips that Carolina would defend that result, since she missed half of the season due to injury. Nevertheless, the Czech tennis player was able to gain the necessary form and brought herself to her peak right at the start of the US Open. Muchova passed all her opponents on the way to the 1/2 finals without giving up a single set. In the last two matches, she confidently dealt with Paolini (6-3, 6-3) and Haddad Maia (6-1, 6-4).
Professional qualities
Mukhova is distinguished by her versatility. Her rich technical arsenal allows her to both attack and feel comfortable on the back line when exchanging blows in protracted rallies. We would like to separately note the excellent sliced and shortened blows performed by Carolina.
Current indicators in the tour
Muchova returned to the tour only in June and has already managed to win 12 out of 16 matches, including playing in the final of the clay tournament in Palermo. On hard, Carolina has only one defeat, and that was from today's opponent in the second round in Cincinnati (7-5, 4-6, 2-6).
Interesting facts for betting
- Muchova has not allowed herself more than two double faults in her last three matches
- On her way to the semi-finals, Carolina did not lose a single game.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
That's the scenario that's played out in three of Pegula's last five games.
2.25Bet 1st set: total under 9.5 games
This bet has been successful in four of Muchova's previous five games.
1.93Tip and bets
On the eve of the US Open, the tennis players played each other in Cincinnati. Then Pegula managed to beat Muchova in only three sets. Obviously, over the past time, Carolina has improved, she acts reliably on her serve, and on the back line she is definitely not inferior to Jessica. We believe that the chances of reaching the final in this pair are largely equal and, taking into account the odds, we recommend betting on the Czech tennis player.
Our prediction is a victory for Mukhova with a handicap of (+3) games with a coefficient of 1.76
Bet on total
We expect in the betting tip that today the scenario of the recent face-to-face match in Cincinnati will be repeated in many ways, when the opponents played three sets. Both are now at the peak of their form and are capable of winning one set each.
The second bet is total over 21 games for 1.68
Betting on double faults
It should be noted that Muchova rarely allows herself to make mistakes when putting in the second ball. Only once in four previous matches in New York did she make more than two double faults.
Betting Tip: total double faults for Muchova under 2.5 with odds of 1.87
