LiontipsZheng Jingwen vs Aryna Sabalenka. US Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Zheng Jingwen fulfilled the minimum task of defending the ranking points for last year's US Open quarterfinal. However, she managed to achieve this at the cost of enormous efforts - in three of the four matches she had to play three sets. Only with Niemeyer in the third round was it an easy walk (6-2, 6-1). In the 1/8 finals, the Chinese tennis player did not allow Vekic to take revenge for the defeat in the Olympic final (7-6, 4-6, 6-2). Let's note Zheng Jingwen's impressive performance in the game on the first serve - 81% of the points won, Donna made only two breaks in three sets.
Professional qualities
Zheng Jingwen has excellent speed, which allows her to cover the court. However, this does not always work with powerfully hitting tennis players, such as Sabalenka, to whom the Chinese representative has lost twice in her career with virtually no chance. We should also note that she has a decent first serve by the standards of women's tennis, but she plays very poorly when putting in the second ball, while Arina can easily attack from the return.
Current indicators in the tour
At the beginning of the season, Zheng Jingwen "shot" at the Australian Open, where she made it to the final. She lost in the decisive match to Sabalenka (3-6, 2-6). There was a decline later, but in the second half of the season, the Chinese tennis player reminded everyone of herself again, winning Olympic gold. On hard courts, she has 17 wins in 24 matches since the beginning of the year.
Interesting facts for betting
- Zheng Jingwen played three sets in three of her four matches in New York
- The Chinese tennis player served at least seven aces in each match of the tournament
Current form
Sabalenka won the title in Cincinnati and has now extended her winning streak to nine matches. It is characteristic that Arina has lost only one set in this period. This happened in the third round of the US Open against Alexandrova, where she failed to get into the game right away (2-6, 6-1, 6-3). There were no particular problems in the matches with Hong, Bronzetti and Mertens – the world's second racket defeated all these opponents with an advantage of at least six games.
Professional qualities
Arina plays power tennis, relying on the power of her serve and hits. It is difficult to resist her pressure, especially on fast surfaces. Thus, in two sets with Mertens, she managed to make 41 winners with 28 unforced errors. In four matches, she gave up only four serves, three of them in the match with Alexandrova.
Current indicators in the tour
Sabalenka has two titles to her credit in 2024, both on hard courts at the Australian Open and in Cincinnati. She has played 33 matches on hard courts and won 27, 24 of which were 2-0 in sets.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sabalenka has won eight of her last nine matches without dropping sets.
- On the way to the quarterfinals, Sabalenka did not win less than 69% of her points on her first serve in any of her matches.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
In two head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won with an exact score of 2-0 in sets.
1.52Rate Set Result: 1>2
This is the scenario that has played out in Zheng Jingwen's last three matches.
2.25Tip and bets
With great difficulty, Zheng Jingwen made it to the quarterfinals, and a game against an inconvenient opponent lies ahead. In two face-to-face matches, Sabalenka easily broke through the Chinese tennis player's defense, not allowing her to play number one. It is unlikely that now, when Arina is at the peak of her form, we should expect a sensation, especially since Zheng is definitely not demonstrating her best tennis in New York.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-4) games with odds of 1.81
Bet on total
Sabalenka is on a nine-game winning streak, losing only one set in that stretch. In addition, Arina has not given up more than five games to Zheng Jingwen in two head-to-head matches. Accordingly, we recommend betting on the total under.
The second bet is total under 21 games for 2.05
Bet on the first set
In the six previous matches involving Sabalenka, no more than nine games were played in the first set. We expect that today Arina will confidently show her advantage right from the start.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.71
