LiontipsSinner vs Paul. US Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Sinner defeated Christopher O'Connell (6-1, 6-4, 6-2) in the third round of the US Open. Yannick served 15 aces, converted five break points and did not lose a single game on his serve in the match against the Australian. The Italian has 28 wins on open hard courts this season and two losses. Earlier in the tournament in New York, Sinner beat Alex Mickelsen and Mackenzie McDonald.
Professional qualities
Sinner is doing just fine at the moment. Neither minor health problems nor the doping case have derailed the Italian. Yannick remains focused and is currently a very real contender for the title in New York.
Current indicators in the tour
Sinner currently leads the world rankings. The Italian has demonstrated excellent results this season. He has won the Australian Open and tournaments in Rotterdam, Miami, Halle and Cincinnati. In total, Yannick has won 21 titles in his career, 16 of which are ATP titles.
Interesting facts for betting
Sinner has won 10 of his last 12 matches against players in the top 20 of the world rankings.
Current form
In the third round of the US Open, Paul broke the resistance of Gabriel Diallo (6-7, 6-3, 6-1, 7-6). Tommy served eight aces, converted nine break points and lost five games on his serve in the match against the Canadian. For the American, this was his 14th victory on open hard courts this season, with eight losses. Earlier in the tournament, Paul beat Max Purcell and Lorenzo Sonego.
Professional qualities
Paul has transformed over the last year and now the American is demonstrating a decent level of tennis and is the second racket of the USA. Tommy has a powerful serve and the same nasty blows from both sides.
Current indicators in the tour
Paul is currently ranked 14th. The American won the indoor tournament in Dallas this season. And he won on grass in Queens. Tommy has 13 career titles, three of which are ATP categories.
Interesting facts for betting
Paul has lost eight of his last 10 matches against players ranked in the world top 10.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Sinner's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.23Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has paid off in 3 of Paul's last 5 matches
2.03Tip and bets
Sinner is incredible on the courts of New York. The Italian is productive and most importantly he plays well on the return. We believe that Paul should not be a difficult task for Yannick. Especially since the last face-to-face meeting between the tennis players, which took place last season, was won by Sinner.
Our prediction is Sinner's victory with a handicap of (-6) games at odds of 1.74
Bet on total
Sinner and Paul have met three times in their careers. Their last face-to-face encounter was played in the Toronto tournament and ended in two sets. Most likely, the next match between the Italian and the American will also be a low-scoring one.
The second betting tip is total under 35 games with odds of 1.91
Bet on the first set
Three of Paul's last five matches have seen the first set go to 9.5+ games, so expect Tommy's upcoming match against Sinner to start with a top-heavy first set as well.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.67
