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Badosa vs. Navarro: US Open match betting tip
For the first time in their careers, Paula Badosa and Emma Navarro will be fighting for the right to play in the semifinals of the US Open. The Spanish tennis player had not made it past the second round in New York before this year, and the American even put her racket away after the first round. Both are in great shape, who will win on September 3? We suggest you read our betting tip and choose reliable bets
Command Analysis
Paula Badosa
SpainCurrent form
Badosa had never shone on the courts in New York before this year and had never made it past the second round. Now Paula is playing her best tournament, especially since the tournament grid on her way to the quarterfinals was not too difficult. She managed to sort out Golubic and Townsend in two sets. The most difficult match was the second round against the Romanian Ruse. In that encounter, Badosa got away with a match point in the third set and only in the tie-break did she get past her stubborn opponent (4-6, 6-1, 7-6). In the 1/8 finals, thanks to her powerful tennis, the Spaniard easily eliminated Wang Yafan (6-1, 6-2).
Professional qualities
Paula is quite straightforward on the court, trying to hit hard with her forehand and backhand, plus she tries to keep a high tempo when exchanging shots on the baseline. She has a good first serve in her arsenal, but in New York she has seen a very low percentage of first serve hits so far – with Roose it was only 46%, and many problems were immediately visible.
Current indicators in the tour
Badosa only came into her own in the middle of the season, when she got rid of all her health problems. On open hard courts, the Spaniard won 19 out of 27 matches, with 14 victories in the American hard series, notching the title in Washington.
Interesting facts for betting
- In her three previous matches in New York, Badosa had served at least four aces.
- Only one of Paula's last six matches saw more than nine games played in the opening set
Emma Navarro
USACurrent form
Navarro is making rapid progress on the tour, and reaching the quarterfinals of the US Open was a major breakthrough for the 23-year-old, who had never even made it past the first round on local courts before this year. She scored her two opening wins over Blinkova and Rus with a crushing score of 6-1, 6-1. In the third round, she was able to return to the game in the decisive set, losing 1-3. Then, in the 1/8 finals, she managed to knock out the current champion Cori Gauff (6-3, 4-6, 6-3), who made a huge number of mistakes, but still clung to the game with all her might. Emma held on, and such a victory can clearly give her confidence.
Professional qualities
The American tennis player acts extremely reliably both on the back line and during attacks. She tries not to force the game, knows how to adapt to her opponents, and can easily maintain a high tempo in rallies when exchanging blows on the back line.
Current indicators in the tour
Navarro is ranked 12th in the world, which is her best achievement. She has no failures on any of the surfaces, the tennis player is versatile. Since the beginning of the year, Emma has played 39 matches on hard, winning 29 of them.
Interesting facts for betting
- In her last two matches, Navarro traded sets with her opponents
- In her previous three matches, Emma has committed only five double faults.
Trends
Total over 2.5 sets bet
In their last personal meeting, the tennis players played three sets.
2.32Rate Set Result: 2>1
This scenario has played out in four of Badosa's last five matches
2.21Tip and bets
In their only personal meeting this year on clay in Rome, the tennis players played three sets, with Badosa winning. It is unlikely that Badosa and Navarro will quickly determine the semifinalist today in New York. Both are currently on the move, at the peak of their form, playing actively, able to exchange blows on the back line without problems, keeping the pace, and their physical form is also fine. We believe that the optimal bet in this pair will be the total over the number of games played.
Our prediction is total over 22 games with odds of 1.86
Bet on the outcome
Bookmakers have Badosa as the favorite, but Navarro is not making any progress in the game at the moment. Clearly, a win over Gauff will give Emma confidence in her own strength, and she can very well count on reaching the semifinals.
Second bet - Navarro wins at 2.12
Bet on the first set
It should be noted that in three of the four matches at the tournament involving Badosa and Navarro, more than nine games were not played in the first set. We think the most intense fight will unfold starting from the second set.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.79
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