LiontipsElise Mertens vs Aryna Sabalenka. Prediction and bets on the match US Open
Command Analysis
Current form
In the 1/8 finals, Mertens went through a very difficult draw. Her opponents were Kudermetova, Tomljanovic and Keys. It is not surprising that only in the game with Ayla did the Belgian tennis player, given her instability, manage without giving up sets. In the last match against Keys (6-7, 7-5, 6-4), the desire of both tennis players to play first number, constantly attacking, was noticeable. As a result, they scored 112 full-forces between them, Elise made fewer mistakes and snatched a difficult victory.
Professional qualities
Mertens does not shine with particular stability, above a certain level, somewhere on the approaches to the top 20, it does not rise. And it is unlikely that we will see a breakthrough. Among the positive moments, we note a good game at the net, while the constant desire to play boldly and aggressively leads to a large number of unforced errors.
Current indicators in the tour
Mertens is currently ranked 35th in the world. Her season results are average in all respects: 24 wins and 20 losses. On hard, the picture is no better: 14 wins in 24 matches.
Interesting facts for betting
- Mertens committed 23 double faults in three matches at the tournament
Current form
Taking into account the title in Cincinnati, Sabalenka is currently on a streak of eight wins in a row. Before the third round match against Alexandrova, the Belarusian tennis player was winning with an exact score of 2-0 in sets. Some failure occurred only in the game with Ekaterina (2-6, 6-1, 6-2). Arina was not able to immediately catch the right rhythm, and her opponent was good. Nevertheless, we note from the match that the second racket of the world won 63% of the points on her serve, three times allowing her opponent to make breaks.
Professional qualities
Sabalenka plays in a bold and aggressive manner, relies on the power of her blows, and does not expect "gifts" from her opponents. When Arina is in shape, and now is exactly the moment, given her eight-game winning streak, it is impossible to stop her.
Current indicators in the tour
Sabalenka has excellent results for the season - 42 wins with 11 losses. And this is taking into account the shoulder injury, a short break in performances. On hard, Arina won 26 out of 32 matches, won the Australian Open and Cincinnati titles.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sabalenka is on an eight-match winning streak, winning seven of them by a 2-0 score in sets.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
In the last five head-to-head matches, the tennis players played two sets each
1.35Rate Set Result: 1>2
This is the scenario that played out in Sabalenka's two previous matches.
2.24Tip and bets
There is no doubt that from the first games the tennis players will fight for the initiative, will play boldly and aggressively. Arina will clearly have more chances in such a game, who is clearly now at the peak of her form and makes far fewer mistakes than Mertens. In addition, Sabalenka has a tangible advantage in personal meetings - she won in seven out of nine matches.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-5.5) games with odds of 1.80
Bet on total
Sabalenka is on an eight-game winning streak and has won seven matches with a 2-0 score in sets. We don't expect more than 21 games to be played in the upcoming encounter.
The second bet is total under 21 games for 1.69
Bet on the second set
Note that only once in nine head-to-head matches in the second set did the tennis players play more than nine games. Accordingly, we recommend another option for betting.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the second set with odds of 1.54
