Jelena Ostapenko vs Naomi Osaka. US Open match prediction and bets

US Open WTA. louis-armstrong-stadium
Jelena OstapenkoLatvia
Naomi OsakaJapan
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Jelena Ostapenko - Naomi Osaka
A year ago, at the US Open, Jelena Ostapenko played in the quarterfinals for the first time in her career and this time she will try to defend her solid ranking points. Naomi Osaka has not achieved any success on local courts since her title in New York in 2020. How will the game between the tennis players go on August 27 in the first round? - the answer is in our betting tip. What bets should you pay attention to today?

Command Analysis

Jelena Ostapenko

Current form

Ostapenko is having another season in her usual unstable and unpredictable style. At the pre-Slam tournaments in Toronto and Cincinnati, Elena did not achieve any success - she won only one match. At the same time, one can expect the most unexpected results from her in New York. So, on the eve of Wimbledon, she also did not shine, but managed to get to the quarterfinals. Let us recall that at the US Open she needs to defend the points for last year's exit to the 1/4 finals.

Professional qualities

Ostapenko plays super-aggressive tennis, not giving her opponents time to think. This style of play on the edge of risk is fraught with outright failures, but at the same time, if Elena, as they say, "gets going", then no one will be able to stop her.

Current indicators in the tour

Ostapenko had a strong start to the season on hard courts, when she celebrated the title in Adelaide. In total, Elena won 14 of 22 matches on this surface. In the world rankings, she currently occupies tenth place.

Interesting facts for betting

  • Ostapenko played three sets in two of her last three matches
  • A year ago, on her way to the quarterfinals, Ostapenko finished all four matches in three sets
Naomi Osaka

Current form

Osaka is far from in top form heading into the US Open, where, let us recall, she has won twice in her career. In Montreal, the Japanese tennis player was unable to defeat Mertens in the second round (3-6, 4-6), and in the Cincinnati qualifying round, she lost to Krueger (3-6, 6-2, 3-6). It was noticeable in her last matches that her serve was not going well, and she was unable to compensate for her failures on the return.

Professional qualities

Osaka has a rich technical arsenal, has a powerful first serve, which, however, flies very unstably, you can often see her accuracy below 50%. At the same time, Naomi is not particularly impressive on the reception.

Current indicators in the tour

Osaka returned to the tour this year after giving birth to her child, and managed to play several good tournaments on her specialty hard court (quarterfinal in Doha, third round in Indian Wells and Miami), but clearly did not reach her previous level. In total, Naomi played 17 matches on hard courts, nine of which were victories.

Interesting facts for betting

  • Osaka played three sets in her previous two matches on the tour
  • Over the last four matches of the Japanese tennis player, the bet is on the total under 9.5 games in the first set

Trends

Total over 2.5 sets bet

Ostapenko has played three sets in two of her last three matches, while Osaka has traded winning sets in her previous two matches on the tour

2.40
2.40

Rate Set Result: 1>2

This scenario has played out in three of Osaka's last five matches

2.25
2.25

Tip and bets

TipOstapenko's victory
2.30

Both tennis players did not shine at the pre-Slam tournaments and, in general, are approaching the start in New York in less than optimal shape. Nevertheless, bookmakers give a rather noticeable advantage to Osaka. We believe that Ostapenko may well surprise, of course, if she catches the courage. Taking into account the odds, we recommend a prediction for the victory of the Latvian tennis player.

Our prediction is Ostapenko's victory with odds of 2.30

Did you like the tips?
TipTotal over 20
1.81

Bet on total

Based on the recent unstable results of the tennis players, it would be logical to play a bet on the total over today. Let us recall that Ostapenko played three sets in two of the last three matches, and Osaka exchanged winning sets in the two previous matches.

The second bet is total over 21 games for 1.81

Bet on the second set

Note that in four of the five previous matches involving Osaka, the second set had more than nine games. Accordingly, we offer another option for betting.

Betting Tip - total games in the second set under 9.5 with odds of 1.69

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips74
% of profit2.41%
Win percentage52.70%
Average coefficient1.85
Wins52.70%  (39)
Refunds10.81%  (8)
Loses36.49%  (27)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)