Sonego vs. Mickelsen. Winston-Salem ATP Match Prediction and Bets

Winston-Salem Open. stadium
Lorenzo SonegoItaly
Alex MichelsenUSA
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Lorenzo Sonego - Alex Michelsen
Sonego and Mickelsen will meet in the final of the tournament in Winston-Salem on August 25. Sonego knows Mickelsen's weaknesses, because this season he beat the American in the challenger in Cagliari. On the courts of Winston-Salem, the Italian has a lot going for him - in three matches he has played, he has lost only one game on his serve. Will Lorenzo be able to win his first title this season? - you can find out the bets on this match in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego

Current form

Sonego defeated David Goffin (6-3, 6-2) in the semifinals of the tournament in Winston-Salem. Lorenzo served two aces, converted three break points and did not lose a single game on his serve in the match against the Belgian. For the Italian, this was the ninth victory on open hard courts this season with ten losses. Earlier in the tournament, Sonego beat Pavel Kotov, Chungchen Shan and Dominik Stricker.

Professional qualities

Sonego is a versatile tennis player with a distinctly attacking style of play. The Italian serves well and plays confidently from the baseline, using a strong forehand to finish rallies in his favor. Sonego likes to play aggressively and often goes to the net, where he also demonstrates confident play. However, he sometimes lacks consistency, and sometimes there are unpredictable failures at the end of matches. Lorenzo is capable of causing serious problems for many opponents, but so far he lacks the consistency to reach a new level.

Current indicators in the tour

For Sonego, this will be the first final this season and the first since September 2022, when, let us recall, Lorenzo won the indoor title in Metz. During his career, the Italian has won three ATP titles. He is currently ranked 58th in the world.

Interesting facts for betting

Sonego lost only one game on his serve in three matches played on the courts of Winston-Salem.

Alex Michelsen

Current form

Mickelsen reached the final of the tournament in Winston-Salem on the refusal of Pablo Carreno Busta, who withdrew from the match at 6-7, 1-2. In 1 hour and 18 minutes of playing time, Alex made two aces, realized three break points and lost two games on his serve. For the American, this was the 20th victory on open hard this season with ten losses. Earlier in the tournament, we recall, Mickelsen beat Christopher Eubank, Ziza Bergs and Marton Fucsovics.

Professional qualities

Mickelsen is a versatile player with good potential for growth. His game is balanced, and he is equally confident with both forehand and backhand. Alex's serve is well-placed, and his return is reliable enough to withstand pressure from opponents. The American's main asset is his strong and accurate backhand, which often brings him points. Despite his good technique and tactical understanding of the game, Mickelsen needs to work on consistency and concentration to successfully compete with top-level players and rise in the rankings.

Current indicators in the tour

The final in Winston-Salem is the second for Mickelsen this season. Let us recall that in July Alex reached the final in Newport – in the decisive match he lost to Marcos Giron. Let us recall that in the world ranking the American is in 52nd place, and in his career he has won four titles.

Interesting facts for betting

In Winston-Salem, Mickelsen played four tie-breaks in four matches.

Trends

Bet Tie-break in the match - yes

This bet has paid off in 3 of Mickelsen's last 5 matches

1.56
1.56

Rate Set Result: 1>2

In 3 of Sonego's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario

2.37
2.37

Tip and bets

TipSonego's Victory
2.35

Sonego knows how to beat Mickelsen. This season, the Italian dealt with Alex at the Challenger in Cagliari. We believe that he is capable of beating the American in the upcoming final. Lorenzo has been playing great on the courts of Winston-Salem - in three matches he has played, he has lost only one game on his serve.

Our prediction is a victory for Sonego with odds of 2.35 .

Did you like the tips?
TipTotal over 23
1.84

Bet on total

The only face-to-face meeting between the tennis players took place this season as part of the challenger in Cagliari. That match was played in three sets. We expect that in the upcoming match between Sonego and Mickelsen, everything will also be decided in three sets.

The second betting tip is total over 23 games with odds of 1.84 .

Bet on the first set

Three of Mickelsen's last five matches have seen the first set go over 9.5 games, so expect Alex's upcoming match against Sonego to start with a top-heavy first set as well.

Betting Tip: total over 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.46 .

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)