LiontipsJared Cannonier vs. Caio Borrallo. Prediction and betting tips for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Jared Cannonier became the Alaska Fighting Championship champion in 2014 and almost immediately signed a contract with Dana White's league. For almost ten years in the UFC, the American has received many prizes and various awards. And in 2022, he could have won the championship belt, but lost in the title fight to Nigerian Israel Adesanya (unanimous decision of the judges). And in his last fight in June 2024, he failed to cope with Nassourdin Imavov, representing France (technical knockout, fourth round).
But before that he defeated Italian Marvin Vettori (unanimous). The 40-year-old Cannonier has 17 wins (nine by knockout, five by decision, three by submission) and seven losses. The Killa Gorilla has a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. The fighter from the USA is ranked fifth in the division.
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«Being so high up in the rankings, being so close to another title fight, there was a little bit of pressure,» Cannonier said. «I’m trying to focus more on the fights that are coming up and not what’s going to happen next. It feels like a weight has been lifted off my shoulders. I’m not saying there aren’t bad consequences if I lose. But I’m just going to go out there and instead of trying not to lose, I’m going to focus on doing my job and getting the win.»
Interesting trends for betting
Cannonier's takedown success rate is 47 percent.
Current form
Caio Borralho became the Future Fighting Championships champion in October 2020 and got a chance to try his hand at the strongest mixed martial arts promotion on the planet. The Brazilian has not yet suffered a single defeat in the UFC. The 31-year-old Latin American has 16 wins (six by knockout, seven by decision, three by submission) and one defeat. Caion is ranked 12th in the division.
The Natural last fought in May 2024, defeating Scotsman Paul Craig (KO, second round). Borralho holds black belts in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and Thai boxing.
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Before the fight, the Brazilian spoke about how a victory over Cannonier would affect his career.
«It's definitely going to change. I'm the new generation of the division. People already know who I am, but now they're going to start looking at me as a contender, and after a good finish against Jared, I think there won't be any talk about it, I'll be the next contender. I said in my last fight that I was going to knock Paul Craig out, and I did it.»
Interesting trends for betting
Borrallo likes to finish fights by decision, with a 44 percent points win rate.
Trends
Bet The fight will be full
The fighters have 12 points wins between them.
2.09Tip and bets
Bookmakers' analysts consider Borrallo a clear favorite of the upcoming fight. In their opinion, Cannonier will have very little chance of success. It is worth agreeing with them. It is already difficult for the American to fight at a high level at his advanced age by sports standards. And his opponent is in his prime and is clearly determined to reach the championship fight. Caio will have to achieve a difficult victory.
Our prediction is Borrallo's victory on points at 2.70
