LiontipsCarreno Busta vs. Mickelsen. Winston-Salem ATP Match Prediction and Bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Carreno-Busta was stronger than Lerner Thien (6-4, 6-2) in the quarterfinals of the competition in Winston-Salem. Pablo served two aces, converted four break points and lost one game on his serve in the match against the American. For the Spaniard, this was the seventh victory on open hard courts this season with two losses. Earlier in the tournament, Carreno-Busta beat Alexander Vukic, Alexander Shevchenko and Omni Kumar.
Professional qualities
Carreno Busta is certainly a clay court player, but that is not the only surface on which the Spaniard can demonstrate good play. He is also good on the outdoor hard courts. In Winston-Salem, this will be his second semi-final in his career. And it is worth remembering that he once won on these courts.
Current indicators in the tour
Carreno Busta reached his first semi-final this season. It is also his first semi-final since August 2022. Recall that the former world No. 10 is currently ranked 300th in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
Carreno Busta has failed to win a set in only two of his last 14 matches.
Current form
Mickelsen broke the resistance of Christopher Eubanks (7-5, 6-7, 7-6) in the quarterfinals of the competition in Winston-Salem. Alex served eight aces, converted four break points and lost three games on his serve in the match against his compatriot. For the American, this was the 19th victory on open hard courts this season with ten losses. Earlier in the tournament, Mickelsen beat Ziza Bergs and Marton Fucsovics.
Professional qualities
Mickelsen's strong point is his backhand. The American also has a good serve, but it is his backhand that should be considered his main weapon. As for consistency, Mickelsen certainly needs to improve in this aspect of the game.
Current indicators in the tour
Mickelsen has played one final this season. He reached the decisive match at the tournament in Newport. In his career, Alex has won four trophies so far. The American, who is ranked 52nd in the world, won three of them last season.
Interesting facts for betting
On the courts of Winston-Salem, Mickelsen played three tie-breaks in three matches.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of the last 5 matches between Carreno and Busta, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.31Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has paid off in 2 of Mickelsen's last 5 matches
1.74Tip and bets
Experience is certainly on the Spaniard's side. We believe that Carreno Busta has a good chance of beating Michelsen. Pablo is getting closer to his best form with each match. We suggest taking a risk and betting on his victory in this match for a pretty good coefficient.
Our prediction is a victory for Carreno-Busta with odds of 2.23 .
Bet on total
The semi-final match, where two opponents of approximately equal strength will play, is unlikely to end quickly. Most likely, the winner in this pair will be determined based on the results of three games.
The second betting tip is total over 23 games with odds of 1.84 .
Bet on the first set
Three of Mickelsen's last five matches have seen the first set go over 9.5 games, and Alex's upcoming match against Carreno Busta is likely to start with a top-heavy first set as well.
Betting Tip: total over 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.62 .
