LiontipsAryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula. Prediction and bets on the WTA match Cincinnati
Command Analysis
Current form
Sabalenka managed to get going during the hard series and gain the necessary game conditions. The victory in the semi-final over Swiatek (6-3, 6-3) clearly reflects Arina's current potential. In addition, she beat all her opponents on the way to the final with an exact score of 2-0 in sets, which shows us that she managed to find the stability that she had previously lacked in Washington and Toronto. The Belarusian tennis player literally "destroyed" Iga Swiatek on the second serve - only 20% of the points won against the world's number one racket.
Professional qualities
Arina is associated with silty aggressive tennis, she loves and knows how to play number one, does not wait for her opponents to make mistakes. This style is most effective when Sabalenka is in good shape. Now in Cincinnati this is exactly the moment.
Current indicators in the tour
On hard courts, Sabalenka won the Australian Open title at the beginning of the year, and the fast surface in Cincinnati suits her perfectly. It is no coincidence that she reached the semifinals three times on local courts, and this year she took a step forward. In total, Arina has 22 wins and six losses on hard courts this season.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sabalenka beat all her opponents on the way to the final with an exact score of 2-0 in sets.
- In her last three matches at the tournament, Arina served exactly five aces.
Current form
Pegula is currently impressive with her results and, first of all, her excellent physical preparation. After all, she has two tense weeks behind her with the title in Toronto and the final in Cincinnati. Jessica endured three protracted matches with an exchange of sets against Muchova, Fernandez and Badosa on local courts. In the semifinal against the Spaniard, there was the usual failure in the second set. Then the game was interrupted for a while, after which Jessica "finished off" Paula in the decisive set (6-2, 3-6, 6-3). In some ways, her opponent "helped" this time - Paula made eight double faults at once, and her first serve was not flying at all.
Professional qualities
Pegula has a fairly rich technical arsenal, but it is difficult to single out any one bright component in her game. Everything is at a high level, without any special frills.
Current indicators in the tour
Like many American women, Pegula feels comfortable on hard courts. In total, she has won 18 of 23 matches on this surface since the beginning of the year. Taking into account the title in Toronto, Jessica extended her winning streak to nine matches.
Interesting facts for betting
- Pegula played three sets in three of her four matches in Cincinnati.
- In the previous two matches, Jessica lost concentration and lost in the second set.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
In the last five head-to-head matches, the tennis players did not exchange winning sets
1.49Rate Set Result: 2>1
This scenario has played out in three of the last five head-to-head matches
2.21Tip and bets
Both tennis players approached the final in excellent playing form. Sabalenka is clearly improving from match to match, making fewer mistakes with each match. In addition, a victory over Swiatek in the semi-finals will clearly give Arina confidence in her own strength. Pegula has very difficult matches behind her, in the semi-finals she was lucky in some ways, since Badosa made a lot of mistakes. The Belarusian tennis player leads in personal meetings with a score of 4-2, and all victories were won in two sets. We believe that it is Sabalenka who will win the title in Cincinnati for the first time in her career today.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 1.68
Bet on total
We don't think Pegula has the strength to play another long match. Moreover, Sabalenka didn't give up a single set on the way to the final, and in the last five head-to-head matches the tennis players didn't exchange sets.
The second bet is total under 22 games for 1.88
Bet on the second set
In the three previous matches in Cincinnati, Sabalenka confidently "pressed" her opponents in the second set. Then, in this game segment, more than nine games were not played, it is unlikely that the series will be interrupted today.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set under 9.5 with odds of 1.72
