LiontipsJessica Pegula vs Paula Badosa. Prediction and bets on the WTA match Cincinnati
Command Analysis
Current form
Pegula has been on an impressive run on the hard courts, winning the title in Toronto last week and continuing to win in Cincinnati. The American has two tough three-set battles with Muchova and Fernandez under her belt. The game against the Canadian lasted more than three hours, and saw two tie-breaks (7-5, 6-7, 7-6). Neither opponent showed a convincing or reliable game – Jessica gave up her serve six times, and Leila had a total of 15 break points.
Professional qualities
It is worth noting that Pegula is gradually slowing down during the second game week, which is not surprising given such a schedule. The American is now making too many unforced errors in simple situations.
Current indicators in the tour
On her specialty hard court, Pegula has won 17 of 22 matches since the beginning of the year. In addition to the title in Toronto, she also had a quarterfinal at the home "thousand-dollar" tournament in Miami.
Interesting facts for betting
- In three of her previous four matches, Pegula has traded winning sets with her opponents.
- In three of the last five games, the American played more than nine games in the opening set.
Current form
Badosa got rid of her health problems and is rapidly gaining momentum, betting, for starters, on returning to the top 10. In Cincinnati, the Spanish tennis player registered four victories with an exact score of 2-0 in sets over Stearns, Kalinskaya, Putintseva and Pavlyuchenkova. Paula takes her due to the high pace in the rallies, and with such an active game, she manages to play with a minimum number of unforced errors. Everything is fine on the serve too - Pavlyuchenkova, for example, had only one unimplemented breakpoint.
Professional qualities
The Spaniard has a decent serve by tour standards, but most importantly, she can offer a high tempo, maintain it over a distance, while adapting to the playing style of any opponent.
Current indicators in the tour
Badosa did not play her best in the first half of the season due to health problems, but now she has 10 wins and only one loss to Ostapenko in the American hard court series. Let us recall that two weeks ago the Spaniard won the title in Washington.
Interesting facts for betting
- Badosa won all of her victories in Cincinnati with a precise score of 2-0 in sets.
- In four of the Spaniard's last five matches, the opening set did not go more than nine games.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
Badosa has won her last five victories on tour without losing sets.
1.52Rate Set Result: 1>2
That's the scenario that's played out in four of Pegula's last five games.
2.25Tip and bets
Pegula has a tough week of games in Canada, two three-set battles in Cincinnati. She makes more mistakes with each match. Today Jessica will play against Badosa , who has gained impressive momentum, and who is able to have an advantage due to her speed and high tempo. Plus, Paula is doing a great job on her serve.
Our prediction is Badosa's victory with odds of 2.09
Bet on total
Badosa won all her victories in Cincinnati with a precise score of 2-0 in sets. We don't think that tired Pegula is ready to endure a protracted battle today.
The second bet is total under 23 games for 1.78
Bet on the second set
We believe that much in this semi-final will be decided by the results of the first set. It is unlikely that Pegula will have the strength to return to the game in case of a loss at the start.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set under 9.5 with odds of 1.76
