LiontipsMateusz Gamrot vs. Dan Hooker. Prediction and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Mateusz Gamrot is a former Konfrontacja Sztuk Walki featherweight and lightweight champion. After his triumph in the Polish promotion Gamer in 2020, he signed a contract with Dana White's league. Until now, he has suffered only two losses in the UFC and has risen to fifth place in the division's rankings. The fighter from Poland has won three fights in a row. In his last one, in March 2024, he defeated Brazilian Rafael dos Anjos (unanimous decision). And before that, Azerbaijani Rafael Fiziev (technical knockout) and American Jaelin Turner (split).
Gamrot, 33, has 24 wins (eight by knockout, 11 by decision, five by submission) and two losses. Mateusz holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. In addition to mixed martial arts, the fighter from Eastern Europe has shown excellent results in major grappling tournaments.
Latest news
«I'm looking forward to fighting Hooker, and then if the UFC wants me to fight at the end of the year, I'll be ready. I think I'm the best wrestler in the lightweight division. Of course, Islam Makhachev always shows a high level of skill, but if I meet him in the cage, I think he won't be able to take me down, but I can... And then it will definitely be a great scramble fight,» Garmot said.
Interesting trends for betting
Gamrot has a 91 percent takedown defense stat.
The Pole likes to end fights by decision – 46 percent of victories are by points.
Current form
Dan Hooker was the King in the Ring middleweight kickboxing champion and the WKBF X-Rules welterweight champion. In MMA, he held the Australian Fighting Championship and Supremacy Fighting Championship belts. After triumphing in Oceania promotions, the New Zealander signed a contract with the UFC in 2014. After two losses, The Hangman won two in a row.
In his last fight in June 2023, he defeated American Jaelyn Turner (split). And before that, Claudio Puelles (technical knockout). The 34-year-old Hooker has 23 wins (11 by knockout, five by decision, seven by submission) and 12 losses. The New Zealander is ranked 11th in the division rankings.
Latest news
Although Hooker defeated Jalin Turner via unanimous decision in the main card at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, he did not leave the Octagon unscathed. When asked by Joe Rogan if he had broken his right hand during an in-cage interview, a bloodied Hooker smiled and replied, «Just a scratch.»
As it turns out, that wasn't quite the case. Hooker posted an X-ray of an apparently broken bone, accompanied by a shrug emoji.
Interesting trends for betting
Hooker's standing punches to the head stat is 62 percent.
Hooker's knockout rate is 48 percent.
Trends
Bet Hooker wins by knockout
Hooker has 11 knockout wins
9.20Tip and bets
Bookmakers' analysts consider Gamrot to be the clear favorite of the upcoming fight. In their opinion, Hooker will have virtually no chance of success. However, they overestimate the Pole's chances. The New Zealander is an experienced fighter who knows the taste of championship victories. He is not going to be a whipping boy and will definitely give his opponent a real fight. In this situation, it is worth betting that the fight will not go the full distance. The fighters have 31 early victories between them.
Our prediction is that the fight will be at full 2.41
