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Kai Kara-France vs. Steve Erceg. Fight Prediction
The Ultimate Fighting Championship fighter in the flyweight category Kai Kara-France will meet Steve Erceg. The fight within the UFC 305 tournament will take place on August 18 at the RAC Arena in Perth (Australia) and will start approximately at 06:00 Moscow time. Will the New Zealander be able to succeed in the fight with the fighter from the Green Continent and what bets should he choose? - read our betting tip
Command Analysis
Kai Kara-France
New ZealandCurrent form
In March 2022, Kai Kara-France defeated Russian Askar Askarov (unanimous decision) and earned the right to fight for the UFC interim belt. But he lost to Mexican Brandon Moreno (technical knockout, third round). And in his last fight in June 2023, he lost to Iraqi Amir Albazi (split), suffering his second defeat in a row.
Kara-France, 31, has 24 wins (11 by knockout, ten by decision, three by submission) and ten losses. Don't Blink is ranked fourth in the division. The New Zealander has a blue belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
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Kara-France said before the fight that fans would «see the best version of Kai.» «We’re going to show up, look good, feel good, destroy the hometown boy. Make a statement and get a shot at the title. That’s how I envision it,» the New Zealand fighter said.
Interesting trends for betting
Kara-France's strike rate to the head is 64 percent.
Kara-France likes to finish fights early - 46 percent of victories are by knockout, 13 by submission.
Stephen Erceg
AustraliaCurrent form
Steve Erceg became the champion of the Australian promotion Eternal MMA, successfully defended and almost immediately signed a contract with Dana White's league. The fighter from the Green Continent defeated American Matt Schnell (knockout, second round) in March 2024. And two months later, he agreed to take part in a fight with Brazilian Alexander Pantoja (unanimous) and, of course, lost, breaking a series of 11 victories.
Erceg, 29, has seven wins (one by knockout, three by decision, three by submission) and two losses. Steve is ranked seventh in the division.
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Erceg is confident that he will be more competitive than his opponent. «I’m happy to fight a good guy, but I’d rather it wasn’t someone from this region. He’s someone I looked up to for a while, when I was an amateur, he was a professional, he was at the top of the Australian-New Zealand fight scene. I’d like to avoid him if I could, but I’ve been offered, and I’m not going to turn anyone down. We’ll find out who’s better,» Erceg said.
Interesting trends for betting
Erceg's submission win rate is 50 percent.
Erceg suffered both defeats in his career by decision.
Trends
Bet Kara-France victory by knockout
Kara-France has 11 knockout wins
6.55Tip and bets
Erceg approaches the upcoming fight as a clear favorite. In their opinion, Kara-France will not have much chance of success. However, one can argue with them. The Australian will fight in his home stadium and this is a big plus. But he came out to fight again after a very short break. Lack of sufficient preparation has already played a cruel joke on him recently. For the New Zealander, Perth is almost like home, and support will also be guaranteed for him. In this situation, it is worth choosing a bet that the fight will not go the full distance.
Our prediction is that the fight will not be complete in 2.45
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