Chelsea vs Manchester City. Prediction (odds 2.55) and bets on the Premier League match

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Chelsea - Manchester City
In August, during an away tour of the USA, Chelsea lost to Manchester City 2-4 in a friendly match. Before that, there was also a defeat in the FA Cup. Will the "aristocrats" be able to take points from the "citizens" in the first round of the Premier League on August 18? Not only our analyst, but also the site's star experts Roman Pavlyuchenko and Elvin Kerimov share their predictions for the match. What reliable bets to play today?

Command Analysis

Chelsea

Current form

The season before last, Chelsea finished only 12th in the Premier League. This was their worst result in the last 29 years. It seemed that there would be no serious progress in the past season, but they managed to have a strong finish and rise to sixth place, getting a ticket to the Conference League. However, this result did not suit the management, because the stake was made at least on the fight for the top 4. As a result, Mauricio Pochettino was dismissed, and Enzo Maresca was appointed in his place. This specialist led Leicester to the Premier League.

So far, the renewed Chelsea has not shown itself in any way in friendly matches. Six games - only one victory over the rather modest America. It is characteristic that during the pre-season training, the "aristocrats" played with Manchester City, which could not count on many of its main players at that time. The "citizens" confidently won that match 4:2.

As usual for many, Chelsea were active during the transfer window. They acquired goalkeeper Philip Jorgensen, midfielders Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Omari Kellyman, and winger Pedro Neto. The club earned almost 100 million euros from the sale of defenders Jan Matsen and Lewis Hall, as well as forward Omari Hutchinson (all of whom played on loan). At the same time, the team still has many unnecessary players who have not been able to find a place anywhere. For example, Maresca directly states that it would be better for defender Ben Chilwell to go to another club so that he could get playing practice.

Disqualifications and injuries

Defender Reece Jayes has been suspended for four games.

Interesting trends for betting

  • Chelsea are unbeaten in their last seven home Premier League games.
  • At least three goals have been scored in Chelsea's previous six Premier League games.
  • In six of the last eight head-to-head matches, the “aristocrats” have not taken more than four corners on their home field.

Probable lineup : Sanchez - Gusto, Disasi, Colville, Cucurella - Fernandez, Lavia, Caicedo - Palmer, Nkunku, Mudrik

Manchester City

Current form

For the fourth time in a row, Manchester City won the English Premier League title. Once again, there was a close fight for the trophy with Arsenal until the last round, but the Citizens withstood the competition and did not allow themselves to misfire, having issued a 23-match unbeaten streak. It should be noted that the team had no equal in terms of scoring – 96 goals scored.

The pre-season preparation was rather crumpled, as many key players were resting after tournaments with their national teams. Nevertheless, even without demonstrating a confident game, especially in attack, https://www.mancity.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Manchester City won the FA Super Cup, beating Manchester United in a penalty shootout. The regular time of that meeting ended in a 1:1 draw, moreover, they had to play catch-up, the score was equalized only in the 89th minute.

During the transfer window, Manchester City made the most expensive sale in its history – Julian Alvarez moved to Atletico. The management is in no hurry to spend the money. For now, we will only note the acquisition of winger Savinho from Girona. At the same time, they managed to “cleanse” the squad of not very necessary players: Ian Couto, Sergio Gomez, Tommy Doyle, Taylor Harwood-Bellis. Kalvin Phillips is expected to leave. In general, Josep Guardiola’s charges are ready to fight for titles again, but it is unlikely that we should expect the team to be agile at the start of the season, given the crumpled preparation, which the Spanish specialist has repeatedly said.

Disqualifications and injuries

Midfielder Oscar Bobb is out for a long time, while Grealish's appearance remains in doubt.

Interesting trends for betting

  • Manchester City have won their last nine matches in the domestic championship.
  • Josep Guardiola's side have kept clean sheets in their last four Premier League away games.
  • The Citizens have scored at least three goals in seven of their previous nine Premier League games.

Probable lineup : Ederson - Walker, Akanji, Ake, Guardiol - Kovacic, Luis - Silva, De Bruyne, Doku - Haaland

Trends

Manchester City to score in the second half

Manchester City have scored in the second 45 minutes in their last five matches

1.42
1.42

Bet Goals in both halves – yes

In three of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half

1.51
1.51

Bet Exact score 1:2

Manchester City have won two of their last three head-to-head matches by a one-goal margin

8.60
8.60

Manchester City to win on shots on target

The bet has been successful in six of the last eight head-to-head meetings in the Premier League in London

1.49
1.49

Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals

The bet has played in three of the last five matches between the teams

1.65
1.65

Tip and bets

TipManchester City win
1.95

In a recent friendly match in Columbus, the opponents played with far from optimal lineups, but even with such a situation , Manchester City turned out to be stronger. Chelsea is clearly still in the process of rebuilding, especially given the coaching reshuffle. The Citizens have a much more stable lineup, all the connections are well-played, even if not all the leaders are in optimal shape yet. At the same time, the same Holland is in perfect order, he was good in pre-season friendlies. We believe that at the moment, due to a more organized and stable game, Manchester City is capable of taking three points.

Our prediction is Manchester City to win at odds of 1.95

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Tiptotal under 3.5 goals
1.64

Bet on total

It was noticeable in the Super Cup match that Manchester City players still lack speed, primarily in attack, everything was very slow on the field. It is unlikely that anything will change in the past few days, even if all the leaders start. Against this background, one should not expect a very productive game. In addition, in 12 of the last 14 personal meetings on the field of the "aristocrats" in the EPL, no more than three goals were scored.

The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.64

Bet on the exact difference in the score

It cannot be said that there is a noticeable difference in class between the opponents, so that one could expect a crushing victory for the favorite, who, moreover, has not yet warmed up. We believe that Manchester City will win today with a difference of one or two goals.

Prediction: Manchester City win by one or two goals with odds of 2.55

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Total tips64
% of profit2.12%
Win percentage48.44%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins48.44%  (31)
Refunds7.81%  (5)
Loses43.75%  (28)
Total tips466
% of profit16.2%
Win percentage45.06%
Average coefficient1.9
Wins45.06%  (210)
Refunds8.15%  (38)
Loses46.78%  (218)