LiontipsDaniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2023 ATP Miami (April 2, 2023).
Command Analysis
Jannik Sinnerdefeated Carlos Alcaraz Garfia in three tight sets (6-7, 6-4, 6-2) to reach the semifinals of the Miami Masters. In the match against the Spanish tennis player, Sinner hit eight aces, converted six break points, and lost three games on his own serve. This was the first career victory for the Italian over the world number one player. Sinner will play in the Miami Masters final for the second time - in 2021, he lost to Hubert Hurkacz in the final.
Daniil Medvedev advanced to the final of the Miami Masters following his victory over Karen Khachanov (7-6, 3-6, 6-3). In that match, Medvedev hit 13 aces, converted two break points, and lost two games on his serve. This is the fifth consecutive final for the Russian tennis player. Previously, he won tournaments in Rotterdam, Doha, and Dubai, and was the runner-up of the recent Indian Wells Masters - in that final, he lost to Carlos Alcaraz Garfia.
Trends
Ставка Tie-break - no
Sinner has played only one tie-break in his last five matches.
Ставка 1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Medvedev's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
We suggest betting on the young Italian in this final. Sinner outperforms Medvedev in almost all stats in this Masters, but Medvedev has been more successful on his serves. Sinner has excelled throughout the tournament in Miami and defeated the world number one Alcaraz Garfia in the semifinals. We believe that he has a better chance of success in the upcoming match.
Our prediction - Sinner to win
We doubt this will be a short meeting - both opponents are in excellent form and we expect a long and exciting battle. The previous match between Sinner and Medvedev was quite close.
Second bet - total over 22 games
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