LiontipsDaniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2023 ATP Miami (March 31, 2023).
Command Analysis
Daniil Medvedev has reached the semifinals for the fifth tournament in a row. He previously did so in Rotterdam, Doha, Dubai, and Indian Wells. He advanced to the semifinals of the Miami Masters with a straight-set victory over Christopher Eubanks (6-3, 7-5). In the match against the American player, Medvedev hit nine aces, converted four break points, and lost only one game on his serve. The Russian has 22 wins and three losses on hard courts this season.
Karen Khachanov has reached the semifinals of his second tournament this year. Earlier, he made it to the semifinals of the Australian Open. In the quarterfinals of the Miami Masters, Khachanov secured a victory over Francisco Cerundolo (6-3, 6-2). In that match, he hit seven aces, converted four break points, and lost only one game on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, Khachanov defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas, Jiri Lehecka, and Tomas Etcheverry.
Tip and bets
Khachanov is certainly a great player, and making it to the semifinals of the Miami Masters is a great achievement for him, especially since he defeated a top-10 player in the world rankings - Tsitsipas - along the way. However, we believe that he is unlikely to overcome Medvedev, who is in great form at the moment. Moreover, Khachanov has a losing record of 1-4 against Medvedev.
Our prediction - handicap (-4) to Medvedev
Medvedev and Khachanov have already met this season. The match took place at the Adelaide tournament and was played in two sets. We expect that the upcoming meeting will be short, too. Take the under.
Second prediction - total under 21 games
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Trends
Ставка 1st set: total under 9.5
Under 9.5 games were played in the first set in 4 of Khachanov's last 5 matches.
Ставка Tie-break - no
In the last 5 matches, Medvedev played only 1 tie-break.