LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Indian Wells (March 19, 2023).
Command Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has reached his third final this season. Previously, the Spanish tennis player won the tournament in Buenos Aires and lost in the final of the Rio de Janeiro tournament to Cameron Norrie. At the Indian Wells Masters, Carlos did not drop a single set on his way to the final.
In the semifinal match, he defeated Jannik Sinner (7-6, 6-3), executing five aces, converting two break points, and losing only one of his serves. Earlier in the tournament, Alcaraz Garfia defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime, Jack Draper, Tallon Griekspoor, and Thanasi Kokkinakis.
Daniil Medvedev will play in his fourth consecutive final. Earlier, he reached the finals in Rotterdam, Doha, and Dubai and, most importantly, he won all of them. Thus, the Russian's winning streak currently counts 20 matches.
In the semifinals of the Indian Wells Masters, Medvedev defeated Francis Tiafoe (7-5, 7-6). He hit nine aces, converted three break points, and lost two of his own serves. In the earlier rounds of the tournament, he ousted Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Alexander Zverev, Ilya Ivashka, and Brandon Nakashima.
Trends
Ставка Tie-break - yes
In the last 5 matches, Alcaraz played 2 tie-breaks.
Ставка 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of Medvedev's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
The opponents have met each other before. The match took place two years ago at Wimbledon and ended with Medvedev's victory. However, we expect a very different game today. Alcaraz is usually more confident on slow clay courts than Medvedev, who prefers faster surfaces.
Our prediction - Alcaraz to win.
Both players are currently demonstrating excellent tennis. Alcaraz Garfia and Medvedev are on top form right now, both of them having reached three or four finals in a row. We predict a close match.
Second prediction - total over 22 games.
