LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger Aliassime. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Indian Wells (March 17, 2023).
Command Analysis
In the fourth round match of the Indian Wells Masters, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia faced Jack Draper, who retired in the second set due to an abdominal muscle injury. In 46 minutes of playtime, Carlos executed three aces, converted three break points, and did not lose any of his service games. Earlier in the tournament, the Spanish tennis player won matches against Tallon Griekspoor (7-6, 6-3) and Thanasi Kokkinakis (6-3, 6-3).
Felix Auger-Aliassime played an incredible match against Tommy Paul in the fourth round of the Indian Wells Masters, where he saved a total of six match points. The Canadian won the match in three sets (3-6, 6-3, 7-6) and hit 12 aces, converted two break points, and lost two of his own service games. In the first two rounds of the tournament, he defeated Francisco Cerundolo (7-5, 6-4) and Pedro Martinez (7-6, 6-4).
Trends
Ставка Tie-break - yes
Alcaraz played 2 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 4 of Auger Aliassime's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Alcaraz Garfia seems to have already adapted to the local courts and is currently demonstrating his best tennis. We believe that the Spanish player has a good chance of winning this tournament, and doubt that Auger-Aliassime, can prevent this, despite his 3-0 lead in the head-to-head. The Canadian is a bit inconsistent of late, and we predict a win for Alcaraz.
Our prediction is a victory for Alcaraz Garfia with a (-3) handicap.
Alcaraz Garfia and Auger Aliassime have already met three times, and their last head-to-head match was quite short. The match took place last year at the tournament in Basel and ended in two sets. We expect the same will happen tonight.
Second prediction - total under 22 games
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