LiontipsStefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2023 ATP Australian Open (January 29, 2023).
Command Analysis
Stefanos Tsitsipas reached the final of the Australian Open for the first time in his career. In the semifinal match, Tsitsipas defeated Karen Khachanov in four sets. He won 5 out of 12 break points and hit 18 aces. That was a more confident victory than the one over Jannik Sinner in the 4th round, when Tsitsipas came back from two sets down. In the other matches of the tournament, the Greek athlete ousted Quentin Halys, Rinky Hijikata, Tallon Griekspoor, and Jiri Lehecka.
Novak Djokovic has won the Australian Open nine times and is intent on winning the 10th title. He had a rough start to his campaign - there were concerns about his hamstring, and many people doubted he will be able to make a deep run. In the second round, the Serbian star dropped a set against Enzo Couacaud - but that was the only set he has surrended at the tournament so far. Djokovic confidently closed his other opponents, which included Alex De Minaur, Andrey Rublev, and Tommy Paul, in three straght sets.
Trends
Ставка 1st set: total under 9.5
Djokovic played under 9.5 games in first sets in 4 of his last 5 matches.
Ставка Tie-break - yes
In the last 5 matches, Tsitsipas played 4 tie-breaks.
Tip and bets
Djokovic is on top form, and we think Tsitsipas can't stop him right now. The Serb confidently leads the head-to-head at 10-3, and last year, he beat Tsitsipas four times - on clay court in Roma and then indoors in Atlanta, Paris, and Turin. We predict another win for the former World №1.
Our prediction - handicap (-6) to Djokovic
We don't believe that Tsitsipas can create problems for Djokovic, when the Serb is in such amazing shape. Djokovic has extra motivation here, too - if he wins, he will have the same number of Grand Slam trophies as Nadal. We think he will make short work of his opponent.
Second bet - total under 38 games
