LiontipsAndrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2023 ATP Australian Open (January 25, 2023).
Command Analysis
Andrey Rublev overcame Dominic Thiem, Emil Ruusuvuori, and Daniel Evans to reach the last 16 of the Australian Open. In the round of 16, the Russian got a strong-willed victory over Holger Rune (6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6). Rublev had only once before reached the quarterfinals of the Melbourne Major - in 2021, he lost to his compatriot Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinal match.
Novak Djokovic is intent on winning his 10th Australian Open. In 2021, he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final, but last year he missed the tournament. In the current campaign, the Serb prevailed over Roberto Carballes Baena, Enzo Couacaud, Grigor Dimitrov, and Alex De Minaur to reach the quarterfinals. In the last match, he got an easy straight-set victory over the home favourite De Minaur.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
Djokovic played under 9.5 games in the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
СтавкаTie-break - yes
In the last 5 matches, Rublev played 2 tie-breaks.
Tip and bets
Djokovic has overcome his hamstring injury and picked up good momentum. In the round of 16, he crushed De Minaur, dropping only five games. We don't think Rublev has a chance against the Serbian star - in their most recent meeting at the Final Cup, Djokovic beat Rublev in two straight sets.
Our prediction - handicap (-6) to Djokovic
Djokovic surrended only five games to Rublev in December. We expect another short match - take the under.
Second wager - total under 36 games
