LiontipsRafael Nadal vs Felix Auger-Aliassime. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2022 ATP Finals (November 15, 2022).
Command Analysis
Rafael Nadal lost his first match in Turin. In the opening match of the ATP Finals, the Spaniard was defeated by Taylor Fritz in two straight sets (6-7, 1-6). We can say that Rafa is not really ready for this campaign as he played only one match on indoor hard this season - at the Paris Masters, where Nadal lost to Tommy Paul. Earlier this season, Nadal won four trophies, among them two Grand Slam titles.
Felix Auger-Aliassime, on the other hand, has been excellent on indoor hard this season. In October, he won three tournaments in a row (in Florence, Antwerp, and Basel). Moreover, he reached the semifinals at the Paris Masters. Nevertheless, the Canadian athlete started his Finals campaign with a defeat to Casper Ruud (6-7, 4-6).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Nadal has played 2 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
In 3 of Auger-Aliassime's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Nadal is not ready for the ATP Finals, and we have doubts whether he will be able to get at least one victory in the group. Rafa feels more comfortable on slow courts, so in Turin Auger-Aliassime has an advantage. The Canadian has defeated Nadal earlier this season, and we think he will get the upper hand in the upcoming match, too.
Our prediction - Auger-Aliassime to win
Both matches between these two players this season were quite long, and we expect it will take more than two sets to decide the winner in this pair. Take the over.
Second bet - total over 23 games
