LiontipsFelix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Florence (October 14, 2022).
Command Analysis
Felix Auger-Aliassime started his Florence campaign with a hard-fought victory over Oscar Otte. The Canadian athlete needed three sets to overcome his opponent (6-4, 6-7, 6-2). Earlier this season, Auger-Aliassime won his first ATP title - he triumphed at the indoor competition in Rotterdam. In the final match, Auger-Aliassime beat Stefanos Tsitsipas (6-4, 6-2).
Brandon Nakashima has looked amazing lately. For instance, he reached the quarterfinals in Atlanta and Los Cabos, played in the third round of the US Open, and won the first ATP title in his career in San Diego. At the current tournament, Nakashima hasn't surrended a set yet. After defeating Richard Gasquet (6-2, 6-2), the American ousted Altug Celikbilek (6-3, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Auger-Aliassime played 4 tie-breaks in his previous 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Nakashima's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Nakashima is in great shape. In the second half of 2022, he demonstrated great results and won a trophy in San Diego. Auger-Aliassime is the favorite in this pair, but we think this will be a close match and expect Nakashima to create problems for the Canadian player. We will be backing the underdog here.
Our prediction - handicap (+3) to Nakashima
Auger-Aliassime isn't in his best shape at the moment. For example, in his first match at the Florence Open, he surrended a set to Oscar Otte, whom he should have defeated easily. We think he will have a difficult match against Nakashima and recommend taking the over.
Second bet - total over 23 games
