LiontipsCasper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP US Open (September 11, 2022).
Command Analysis
Casper Ruud made it to his second Grand Slam final three months after his runner-up finish at Roland Garros. Back then, the Norwegian lost to Rafael Nadal in straight sets. In New York, Ruud easily defeated every opponent, and only Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov put up fights. Ruud needed three tie-breaks and five sets to defeat Paul and dropped a set against Khachanov. So far this season, Ruud has won four trophies.
Carlos Alcaraz was off to a confident start at the US Open. He defeated Sebastian Baez, Federico Coria, and Jenson Brooksby in straight sets. After that, Alcaraz had a five-set match against Marin Cilic. The young Spanish star also needed five sets to beat Jannik Sinner. In the semifinal, he was up against Frances Tiafoe. Again, Alcaraz played five sets and two tie-breaks, but managed to claw his way into the Grand Slam final. Previously this season, Alcaraz has won four trophies.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
In 3 of Ruud's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.
СтавкаTie-break - yes
In the last 5 games, Alcaraz played 4 tie-breaks.
Tip and bets
Both Ruud and Alcaraz have enjoyed a successful year so far, and they fully deserve reaching the final of the US Open. Bookmakers consider Alcaraz the favorite in this pair, and we tend to agree with them. In the last few days, the Spaniard spent over 13 hours on court and played 15 sets. He is in excellent physical form, and emotionally is well-prepared to take on Ruud in his first Grand Slam final. Earlier this year, the players met in Miami, and Alcaraz defeated Ruud in two sets.
Our prediction - handicap (-3) to Alcaraz
The tennis players have previously met three times, and all three matches were quite short. However, we believe that the upcoming match will be much longer - it will be a close battle between two excellent athletes, who both are on top form. We suggest taking the over.
Second bet - total over 39 games
