LiontipsIga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka. Prediction and Betting Tips for WTA US Open
Command Analysis
Iga Swiatek was not so convincing in pre-Slam tournaments, so there were reasonable concerns about her form before the start of US Open. But the World No. 1 player managed to reach the semi-final of a Grand Slam competition, despite an underwhelming performance.
Iga coasted past first three rounds effortlessly. She beat Paolini, Stephens and Davis without losing a single set. Polish played won each of these matches by at least five games.
A round of 16 match against Niemeier turned out to be a tough one for Swiatek. She managed to come back after losing the first set (2:6, 6:4, 6:0).
In the quarter-final Iga had to face Pegula. Polish player performed poorly - 32 unforced errors, six breaks given and only 50% of points won at first serve. However, the opponent failed to capitalize, so Swiatek took a 3:6, 6:7 victory.
Aryna Sabalenka reached the semi-final of US Open for the second time in a row. In the previous season Belarusian player was stopped by Leylah Fernandez at that stage (6:7, 6:4, 4:6).
Aryna was actually close to a defeat in the second round. She was 1:5 down in a second set of a match against Kanepi, but mounted a comeback and didn't let the opponent to convert two match-points (2:6, 7:6, 6:4).
A spirited performance against the Estonian player sparked Sabalenka's winning streak in New York. In next matches she hammered Burel (6:0, 6:2), narrowly beat Collins (3:6, 6:3, 6:2) and Pliskova (6:1, 7:6). In a match against the Czech player Aryna had only three double faults and put up a flawless serving performance.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 8,5
This bet played in each of four latest head-to-head matches
СтавкаSets performance: 2>1
This bet played in three latest matches of Swiatek
СтавкаTiebreak: no
No tiebreaks were played in any of four latest head-to-head matches
Tip and bets
Opponents had three head-to-head matches in 2022, all of them were won by the Polish player. Iga managed to get victories on hard and clay surfaces. Swiatek is a clear favourite tonight, despite an underwhelming performance in the quarter-final.
Sabalenka put up a great serving performance in a match against Pliskova. But Swiatek is a much better receiver than the Czech player. Aryna will have to face a tough opponent. We think that Iga will be able to beat the Belarusian player for a fourth time in a season.
Our prediction - Swiatek to win with a handicap of (-2,5) games
Bookmakers are expecting a tightly contested match here. But in each of three latest head-to-head matches no more than 17 games were played. We offer to place a bet on total under.
Our second bet is on total under 22 games
