Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka. Prediction and Betting Tips for WTA US Open

US Open WTA. arthur-ashe-stadium
Iga SwiatekPoland
Aryna SabalenkaBelarus
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Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka
On September 9, Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will fight for the second final spot in US Open. Polish player has won three latest head-to-head fixtures. Will the World No. 1 player secure another victory? The answer is in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek was not so convincing in pre-Slam tournaments, so there were reasonable concerns about her form before the start of US Open. But the World No. 1 player managed to reach the semi-final of a Grand Slam competition, despite an underwhelming performance. 

Iga coasted past first three rounds effortlessly. She beat Paolini, Stephens and Davis without losing a single set. Polish played won each of these matches by at least five games. 

A round of 16 match against Niemeier turned out to be a tough one for Swiatek. She managed to come back after losing the first set (2:6, 6:4, 6:0). 

In the quarter-final Iga had to face Pegula. Polish player performed poorly - 32 unforced errors, six breaks given and only 50% of points won at first serve. However, the opponent failed to capitalize, so Swiatek took a 3:6, 6:7 victory. 

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka reached the semi-final of US Open for the second time in a row. In the previous season Belarusian player was stopped by Leylah Fernandez at that stage (6:7, 6:4, 4:6). 

Aryna was actually close to a defeat in the second round. She was 1:5 down in a second set of a match against Kanepi, but mounted a comeback and didn't let the opponent to convert two match-points (2:6, 7:6, 6:4). 

A spirited performance against the Estonian player sparked Sabalenka's winning streak in New York. In next matches she hammered Burel (6:0, 6:2), narrowly beat Collins (3:6, 6:3, 6:2) and Pliskova (6:1, 7:6). In a match against the Czech player Aryna had only three double faults and put up a flawless serving performance. 

Trends

Ставка1st set: total under 8,5

This bet played in each of four latest head-to-head matches

2.85bet365.com

СтавкаSets performance: 2>1

This bet played in three latest matches of Swiatek

2.21bet365.com

СтавкаTiebreak: no

No tiebreaks were played in any of four latest head-to-head matches

1.25bet365.com

Tip and bets

TipHandicap (-2,5) on Swiatek
1.74

Opponents had three head-to-head matches in 2022, all of them were won by the Polish player. Iga managed to get victories on hard and clay surfaces. Swiatek is a clear favourite tonight, despite an underwhelming performance in the quarter-final. 

Sabalenka put up a great serving performance in a match against Pliskova. But Swiatek is a much better receiver than the Czech player. Aryna will have to face a tough opponent. We think that Iga will be able to beat the Belarusian player for a fourth time in a season.

Our prediction - Swiatek to win with a handicap of (-2,5) games 

Will the prediction win?
Tiptotal under 22
1.84

Bookmakers are expecting a tightly contested match here. But in each of three latest head-to-head matches no more than 17 games were played. We offer to place a bet on total under. 

Our second bet is on total under 22 games 

Will the prediction win?

Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Feb | 07:00
Ливерпуль:
Вест Хэм
1.65
Прогноз от Эксперта
igor-semshovИгорь Семшов
21 Jun | 18:00
Ривер Плейт:
Монтеррей
1.91

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips30
% of profit-0.33%
Win percentage40.00%
Average coefficient1.81
Wins40.00%  (12)
Refunds13.33%  (4)
Loses46.67%  (14)
Total tips115
% of profit-3.3%
Win percentage46.09%
Average coefficient1.88
Wins46.09%  (53)
Refunds4.35%  (5)
Loses49.57%  (57)