Murray vs Berrettini: prediction for the US Open match
Andy Murray and Matteo Berrettini face off in the third-round match of the US Open. Who will progress to the next round? Here's our prediction.

Command Analysis

Andy Murray

Andy Murray has been quite lucky with the draw. In the first-round match, the Briton ousted Francisco Cerundolo. He defeated the clay-court specialist in three sets (7-5, 6-3, 6-3). After that, Murray prevailed over Emilio Nava (5-7, 6-3, 6-1, 6-0). Before the start of the New York major, Murray made first-round exits at the Citi Open and the Canadian Open, and could only win one match at the tournament in Cincinnati.

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini is having a good season. He has won two grass-court tournaments, in Stuttgart and London. At the US Open, Berrettini is defending his last year's quarterfinal. He was off to a good start - in the first round, Berrettini got an easy victory over Nicolas Jarry (6-2, 6-3, 6-3), and then he outplayed Hugo Grenier (2-6, 6-1, 7-6, 7-6).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Murray played one tie-break in the last 5 matches.

Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Berrettini's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.

Tip and bets
Murray didn't look convincing in his first two matches at the current tournament and was unimpressive at other recent tournaments. Berrettini, on the other hand, has enjoyed a great tour so far. It will be extremely difficult for Murray to win even one set against the Italian.
Our prediction - handicap (-3) to Berrettini
We believe that Murray isn't fully ready for the US Open, and that he reached the third round because he was lucky with the opponents. To beat Berrettini he needs more than just experience. We expect the Italian to win in straight sets.
Second bet - total under 39 games