LiontipsFederico Coria vs Carlos Alcaraz. Prediction and Betting Tips for US Open (September 1, 2022).
Command Analysis
Federico Coria started his US Open campaign with a three-set victory over Tallon Griekspoor (7-5, 6-4, 6-3), which was hardly expected, since the Argentine has only won one match on hard before that. He is considered a clay-court specialist, and all of his best results have been delivered on slow surfaces. For example, in June he won the challenger in Milan. In the final, he beat Francesco Passaro.
Carlos Alcaraz walked over Sebastian Baez to reach the second round of the current tournament - Baez got injured during the third set and withdrew from the match. Before the start of the hard-court major, Alcaraz reached the quarterfilas of the Cincinnati Masters. The Spaniard has already won four trophies this year - in Rio, Miami, Barcelona, and Madrid. Here in New York he is defending his last year's quarterfinal.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Coria didn't play tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
More than 9 games were played in the first set in 4 of Alcaraz's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Two years ago, Coria defeated Alcaraz in three sets on clay. Sure, things have changed in those two years, and Alcaraz has improved a lot, but we don't think that the young Spaniard will be able to crush his opponent. Coria should maintain the handicap of 10 games.
Our prediction - handicap (+10) to Coria
In the first round of the tournament, Coria closed Griekspoor in three sets. He is in good form and feels confident after that victory, that's why we expect him to put up a fight against Alcaraz. Take the over.
Second bet - total over 26 games
