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Alcaraz vs Bagnis: prediction for the ATP Umag match
Carlos Alcaraz goes against Facundo Bagnis in the quarterfinal of the Croatia Open. Who will become the semifinalist? Here's our prediction.
Command Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz
SpainCarlos Alcarazwas the favorite of the Hamburg European Open, which took place last week, but the young Spanish star lost to Lorenzo Musetti in the final match. This week, Alcaraz is looking for redemption in Umag. As top seed, he started his Croatia Open campaign in the Round of 16. To progress to the quarterfinals, Alcaraz defeated Norbert Gombos(6-2, 6-3).
Facundo Bagnis
ArgentinaFacundo Bagnis couldn't pass qualifying rounds is Bastad and Gstaad. In Sweden, Bagnis lost to Pedro Souza, and in Switzerland he yielded to Zizou Bergs. Everything changed in Umag - the Argentine confidently won his first two matches at the current tournament. In the opening round, Bagnis beat Tomas Etcheverry (7-5, 6-3). After that, he overcame Corentin Moutet (6-3, 6-1).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Tie-breaks were played in 4 of the last 6 matches of the Spaniard.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 5 of Bagnis' last 8 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first round.
Tip and bets
Alcaraz is the strong favorite in this pair, but Bagnis should not be underestimated. In the previous round, the Argentine upset Corentin Moutet. Bagnis is in great shape, and we expect him to put up a fight. Take the over.
Our prediction — total over 18 games
In the previous round, Alcaraz defeated Gombos by seven games. At the moment, Bagnis is in better form than Gombos, and we belive he can maintain the handicap of 6.5 games.
Second prediction — handicap (+6.5) to Bagnis
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