LiontipsLorenzo Musetti vs Marco Cecchinato. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Umag (July 28, 2022).
Command Analysis
Lorenzo Musetti started his 2022 Umag campaign with a hard-fought victory over Aljaz Bedene (6-2, 3-6, 6-1). Last week, the 20-year-old Italian triumphed at the Hamburg Open. In the final, he defeated Carlos Alcaraz (6-4, 6-7, 6-4). This was his second trophy in 2022. Earlier this year, Musetti won the Challenger in Forli.
Marco Cecchinato made it to the main draw through qualification - he defeated Domagoj Biljesko (6-3, 6-1) and walked over Andreas Seppi. In the first round of the tournament's main draw, Cecchinato ousted Mili Poljicak (6-1, 5-7, 6-2). This season, Cecchinato played 37 matches on clay and won only 18 of them. His best result in Umag was four years ago, when he won the tournament.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Musetti played 2 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
Under 9.5 games were played in first sets in 4 of Cecchinato's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
We expect this match to be quite close. Musetti is the favorite, but after a long week in Hamburg he is a bit tired and might take it easy. We suggest taking the over.
Our prediction - total over 21 games
Despite his tiredness, Musetti should win today. He is on top form and is intent to make a deep run in Umag. He also leads the head-to-head at 1-0. We will be backing the favorite here.
Second bet - handicap (-3) to Musetti
