LiontipsDominic Thiem vs Matteo Berrettini. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Gstaad (July 23, 2022).
Command Analysis
Dominic Thiem has gained momentum - he won the last two matches in straight sets. First, the Austrian closed Federico Delbonis (7-6, 6-1), then he celebrated success over Juan Varillas (6-3, 6-4). At the previous tournament, Thiem finished all of his matches in three sets, and there has been a real improvement in his performance this week.
Matteo Berrettinisuffered a minor injury in June and got Covid-19 just before Wimbledon. He didn't play for over a month, and his return to the tour has been quite successful. In his first match in Gstaad, the Italian player defeated Richard Gasquet(6-4, 6-4). After that, he prevailed over Pedro Martinez Portero (3-6, 7-6, 6-1).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Thiem played tie-breaks in 5 of the last 6 matches.
Ставка2nd set: total under 9.5 games
In 4 of Thiem's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the second set.
Tip and bets
Thiem was excellent in his last matches, and we expect him to put up a good fight in the upcoming fixture. Berrettini is having a good season, but he didn't have playing practice for a month and made too many mistakes in Gstaad. For instance, he dropped a set against Portero. This probably will be quite a long fight, so take the over.
Our prediction — total over 22.5 games
Thiem leads the head-to-head - he won four matches against Berrettini and lost three. We think that the Austrian player has a good chance of progressing to the final.
Second prediction — handicap (+3) to Thiem
