Zverev vs Nakashima: prediction for the Roland Garros match
Last year, Alexander Zverev played in the semifinal of the French Open, and that is why he was considered one of the favorites to win the tournament in 2022. However, the German is having an overall disappointing season. In the first round of the Major, Zverev ousted Sebastian Offner (6:2, 6:4, 6:4), but in the second match he dropped the first two sets against Sebastian Baez. The match lasted for over 3,5 hours - Zverev managed to win in five sets.
Brandon Nakashima doesn't have good stats on clay courts this season. He made first-round exits at all 2022 clay-court tournaments except the Barcelona Open. Despite such poor results, the American has been successful in the French capital so far. In his opener, Nakashima prevailed over Kamil Majchrzak (6:4, 2:6, 4:6, 7:6, 6:2), and in the second round, he overcame Tallon Griekspoor (7:6, 6:4, 6:2).
In the last 4 matches of Zverev, no tie-breaks were played.
In 3 of the last 5 matches of Zverev, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
The opponents met at the US Open in 2020. Two years ago, Zverev defeated Nakashima in four sets. We expect a similar outcome in this match - Zverev is in poor shape, while Nakashima is doing quite well. We believe, the American athlete will put up a fight.
Our prediction — total over 31 games
Zverev didn't look very convincing in his first two matches, and we think that Nakashima will be able to maintain the handicap of 8.5 games. We will be backing the underdog in this matchup.
Second bet — handicap (+8.5) to Nakashima