LiontipsNovak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 7, 2022).
Command Analysis
Novak Djokovic had no problems during his Madrid Open campaign. In his opener, he beat Gael Monfils in two sets (6-3, 6-2), then walked over Andy Murray, and in the quarterfinal match, the Serb prevailed over Hubert Hurkacz (6-3, 6-4). Djokovic has won the title in Madrid three times in his career. In 2019, he beat Tsitsipas in the final (6-3, 6-4).
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia defeated his eminent compatriot Rafael Nadal in the quarterfinal match (6-2, 1-6, 6-3). Before that, Alcaraz Garfia closed Nikoloz Basilashvili (6-3, 7-5) and Cameron Norrie (6-4, 6-7, 6-3) in straight sets. This year, the Spaniard has already won three trophies - in Rio, Miami, and Barcelona.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Djokovic played just one tie-break in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Alcaraz Garfia's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Alcaraz defeated Nadal, and we don't see why he wouldn't be able to overcome Djokovic. The young Spaniard has been excellent this season and we will be backing him in this match.
Our prediction - Alcaraz Garfia to win
This should be a close match. We expect an exciting and long battle.
Second prediction - total over 22 games
