LiontipsRafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 6, 2022).
Command Analysis
Rafael Nadal has won the Madrid Open five times in his career. At the current tournament, he started with an easy victory over Miomir Kecmanovic (6-1, 7-6). In the round of 16, the King of Clay had a difficult match against David Goffin. It took Nadal a tie-break to win the third set after the first two were split (6-3, 5-7, 7-6).
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won the Barcelona Open before coming to Madrid. The young Spaniard started his campaign with a straight-set win against the Georgian athlete Nicoloz Basilashvili (6-3, 7-5). After that, Alcaraz Garfia had a tough match against the experienced Cameron Norrie in the round of 16. He managed to defeat the Briton in three sets (6-4, 6-7, 6-3).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Nadal played 4 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of the last 5 matches of Alcaraz, more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Nadal leads the head-to-head at 2-0. Last year, the opponents met at the Madrid Open, and Alcaraz Garfia took only three games. The young Spanish star surely has improved over this year, but Nadal still is the favourite to win.
Our prediction - handicap (-2) to Nadal
We expect the King of Clay to get the upper hand in the upcoming match due to his experience and overall good form. We will take the under here.
Second bet - total under 22 games
