LiontipsRafael Nadal vs David Goffin. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 5, 2022).
Command Analysis
Rafael Nadal was out for about a month due to a rib injury he got at the Indian Wells Masters, and this is his first appearance on clay courts in 2022. In the first match of the current tournament, the King of Clay confidently defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in two straight sets (6-1, 7-6). Last year, Nadal lost to Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinal of the Madrid Open (4-6, 4-6).
David Goffin looks solid at the current tournament. He started his Madrid Open campaign in the qualifiers, where he prevailed over Jiri Vesely (6-3, 7-6) and Alejandro Tabilo (6-4, 6-4). In the main draw, the Belgian tennis player celebrated success over Aslan Karatsev (6-2, 7-5) and overcame Botic van de Zandschulp (6-4, 6-2).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Nadal played 5 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Goffin's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Nadal seems to have fully recovered from his injury, he looked excellent against Kecmanovic in the first match. We believe that the Spaniard will close Goffin in two straight sets.
Our prediction - handicap (-5) to Nadal
Rafa leads the head-to-head at 5 to 2, and all their previous meetings on clay were quite short. We suggest taking the under.
Second wager - total under 20 games
