LiontipsCameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 5, 2022).
Command Analysis
Cameron Norrie made a first-round exit at his first clay-court tournament this year - in Monte Carlo, he was ousted by Albert Ramos Vinolas. In Barcelona, the British tennis player passed Egor Gerasimov and Marton Fuscovics, reaching the quarterfinals. So far, Norrie is doing well in Madrid. He defeated strong opponents in the first two rounds - Kwon Soon-Woo (7-5, 7-5) and John Isner (6-4, 6-7, 6-4).
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won the first ATP 1000 title in his career in the beginning of April. In the final of the Miami Masters, he defeated Casper Ruud. In Monte Carlo, however, the young Spaniard couldn't make it past the first opponent - he lost to Sebastian Korda (6-7, 7-6, 3-6).
Alcaraz Garfia faced Nikoloz Basilashvili in his first match in Madrid. He recorded an easy two-set victory (7-5, 6-3).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Alcaraz Garfia didn't play tie-breaks in 3 of his last 4 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 4 of Alcaraz's last 6 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set
Tip and bets
The opponents have met twice in the last year, both times on hard courts. Norrie didn't win a single set in either of those matches. We believe that Alcaraz Garfia will get another confident victory in the upcoming match.
Our prediction — handicap (-4,5) to Alcaraz Garfia
Norrie is usually more confident on hard, but he lost both of his matches against Alcaraz Garfia in straight sets. The Spaniard, on the contrary, is even more powerful on clay - this should be over quickly.
Second bet — total under 21.5 games
